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MET previsões e probabilidades

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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

92%

Starmer - UK PM

$6M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

91

Ends em 6 meses

Acordo nuclear final EUA-Irã até...?

Acordo nuclear final EUA-Irã até...?

44%

31 de dezembro

$3M Vol.

$244K today

$2M Liq.

77

Ends em 2 meses

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

12%

31 de julho

$9M Vol.

$348K today

$148K Liq.

568

Ends há 28 dias

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

7%

31 de julho

$12M Vol.

$82.8K today

$299K Liq.

168

Ends há 28 dias

O regime iraniano sobreviverá aos ataques militares dos EUA?

O regime iraniano sobreviverá aos ataques militares dos EUA?

100%

$1M Vol.

$138K Liq.

72

Ends em 2 dias

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

45%

Dopropillia

$237K Vol.

$87.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

A Ucrânia voltará a entrar em Kamianske até...?

A Ucrânia voltará a entrar em Kamianske até...?

4%

30 de junho

$64.1K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Quem Xi Jinping irá expurgar em 2026?

Quem Xi Jinping irá expurgar em 2026?

10%

Dong Jun

$176K Vol.

$197K Liq.

17

Ends em 6 meses

Em quais cidades a Rússia entrará até 30 de junho?

Em quais cidades a Rússia entrará até 30 de junho?

1%

Dopropillia

$2M Vol.

$132K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing Ever Happens: July

80%

Nothing

$4.3K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Recessão dos EUA até o final de 2026?

Recessão dos EUA até o final de 2026?

11%

$2M Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

69

Ends em 7 meses

A Rússia entrará em Orikhiv até...?

A Rússia entrará em Orikhiv até...?

17%

30 de setembro

$356K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

22

Ends em 3 meses

A Rússia entrará em Krasnoiarske até...?

A Rússia entrará em Krasnoiarske até...?

68%

31 de dezembro

$126K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

Nada Nunca Acontece: 2026

Nada Nunca Acontece: 2026

84%

$632K Vol.

$39.6K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

A Rússia entrará em Stavky até...?

A Rússia entrará em Stavky até...?

4%

30 de junho

$7.0K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia

Parlay de paz Rússia x Ucrânia

16%

$534K Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

22

Ends em 6 meses

A Rússia entrará em Havrylivka até...?

A Rússia entrará em Havrylivka até...?

48%

30 de setembro

$68.0K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

A Rússia entrará em Shevchenko até...?

A Rússia entrará em Shevchenko até...?

51%

30 de setembro

$105K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends há 28 dias

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

98%

4+

$23.6K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

5%

$12.9K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 2 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like MET.

Polymarket currently hosts 62 active markets for MET that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “O regime iraniano sobreviverá aos ataques militares dos EUA?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 7% chance to 31 de julho. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on MET predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.