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MET previsões e probabilidades

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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

<1%

Macron - France President

$6M Vol.

$1M today

$998K Liq.

92

Ends em 6 meses

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

45%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$302K today

$1M Liq.

81

Ends em 2 meses

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

6%

July 31

$12M Vol.

$80.3K today

$296K Liq.

169

Ends há 28 dias

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

12%

July 31

$9M Vol.

$88.8K today

$160K Liq.

595

Ends há 28 dias

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

100%

$1M Vol.

$142K Liq.

72

Ends em 2 dias

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

46%

Dopropillia

$237K Vol.

$84.7K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?

1%

Dopropillia

$2M Vol.

$134K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?

Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?

4%

June 30

$64.1K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

10%

Dong Jun

$176K Vol.

$191K Liq.

17

Ends em 6 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing Ever Happens: July

81%

Nothing

$4.7K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

EU dissolves before 2027?

EU dissolves before 2027?

3%

$174K Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

10

Ends em 6 meses

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

12%

$2M Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

69

Ends em 7 meses

Will Russia enter Stavky by...?

Will Russia enter Stavky by...?

3%

June 30

$7.0K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

84%

$632K Vol.

$39.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

16%

$534K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

22

Ends em 6 meses

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

99%

4+

$24.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?

Will Russia enter Orikhiv by...?

15%

September 30

$356K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

22

Ends em 3 meses

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

5%

$13.2K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 2 dias

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by...?

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by...?

51%

September 30

$105K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends há 28 dias

Will Russia enter Stinky by...?

Will Russia enter Stinky by...?

36%

July 31

$80.9K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

9

Ends há 28 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like MET.

Polymarket currently hosts 63 active markets for MET that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 6% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on MET predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.