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Conformidade previsões e probabilidades

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Acordo nuclear final EUA-Irã até...?

Acordo nuclear final EUA-Irã até...?

24%

31 de agosto

$2M Vol.

$284K today

$2M Liq.

65

Ends em 2 meses

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

26%

December 31

$598K Vol.

$197K Liq.

27

Ends em 6 meses

Trump anuncia cessar-fogo EUA x Irã até...?

Trump anuncia cessar-fogo EUA x Irã até...?

2%

30 de junho

$4M Vol.

$88.2K Liq.

102

Ends em 5 dias

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

64%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$8.8K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 6 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

21%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

135

Ends em 6 meses

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

93%

$1.2B

$23.8K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

3%

June 30

$168K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

10

Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?

Progressive (PGR) Q2 combined ratio?

42%

<86%

$625 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends em 20 dias

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

52%

December 31, 2027

$502K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

32

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

91%

$2.3B

$21.8K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

13%

June 30

$31.3K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

1

Ends em 4 dias

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

6%

$2.9K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

1%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

1,050

Ends em 4 dias

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

11%

$28.5K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

19

Ends em 6 meses

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

16%

$67.0K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

14

Ends em 6 meses

What will Trump post this week? (June 23 - 28)

What will Trump post this week? (June 23 - 28)

86%

Dana / White

$413 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

12%

July 31

$36.5K Vol.

$105K Liq.

3

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

84%

$632K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

51%

$0.9B

$0 Vol.

$99 Liq.

Ends em 19 dias

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

<1%

$3.6K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends em 4 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Conformidade.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Conformidade that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Acordo nuclear final EUA-Irã até...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $15.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Clavicular sentenced to prison?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 1% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Conformidade predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.