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icon for Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?

Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?

icon for Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?

Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$72,189 Vol.

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$72,189 Vol.

On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.The August 7 deadline has now passed without Israeli agreement to the Board of Peace roadmap for phased Hamas disarmament and Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, producing the market's 100% "No" consensus. Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly stated that Israel did not accept the Board's terms, citing unresolved security concerns over verification timelines, initial troop pullbacks, and guarantees against rearmament, while limited Israeli operations continued amid stalled diplomacy. Hamas had signaled conditional acceptance of the July 30 framework, but Israeli amendments and ongoing military activity prevented binding commitments. Trader confidence reflects the absence of any last-minute accord or official endorsement before the cutoff. Late diplomatic breakthroughs, revised Board proposals, or reinterpretation of prior statements could theoretically reopen the question, though the resolution window has closed.

On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.

A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.

A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.

Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
Volume
$72,189
Data de Término
7 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:20 PM ET

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.The August 7 deadline has now passed without Israeli agreement to the Board of Peace roadmap for phased Hamas disarmament and Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, producing the market's 100% "No" consensus. Prime Minister Netanyahu publicly stated that Israel did not accept the Board's terms, citing unresolved security concerns over verification timelines, initial troop pullbacks, and guarantees against rearmament, while limited Israeli operations continued amid stalled diplomacy. Hamas had signaled conditional acceptance of the July 30 framework, but Israeli amendments and ongoing military activity prevented binding commitments. Trader confidence reflects the absence of any last-minute accord or official endorsement before the cutoff. Late diplomatic breakthroughs, revised Board proposals, or reinterpretation of prior statements could theoretically reopen the question, though the resolution window has closed.

On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.

A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.

A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated.

A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.

The following do not qualify:
Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official;
Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel;
Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap;
Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications;
Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and
Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position.

Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe the roadmap or a successor agreement, without clearly communicating acceptance of it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the roadmap by name, provided the substantive policy of accepting the roadmap is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. The following do not qualify: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the government of Israel; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the government of Israel will announce or implement acceptance of the roadmap; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Announcements or acceptances of the roadmap attributed only to Hamas, the Board of Peace, the United States, mediating states, or any party other than Israel; and Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional acceptance rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether the roadmap is actually implemented in practice. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel.
Volume
$72,189
Data de Término
7 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 7:20 PM ET

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Israel concorda com o plano Conselho de Paz Gaza até 7 de agosto?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?" has generated $72.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?" is "Israel concorda com o plano Conselho de Paz Gaza até 7 de agosto?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Israel concorda com o plano da Junta de Paz de Gaza até 7 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.