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Outdoor Hot 100 previsões e probabilidades

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Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

90%

Mariah Carey

$139K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 8 meses

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

35%

10

$1.1K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 22 dias

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

38%

22–24

$13.2K Vol.

$335 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

42%

Ed Sheeran

$127K Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

11%

$6.2K Vol.

$501 Liq.

9

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

93%

Drake

$1.6K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

98%

$7.9K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

81%

Drake

$2.1K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 8)

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 8)

98%

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

$141K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

1

Ends há 16 minutos

Highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)

Highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)

82%

Mortal Kombat 2

$20 Vol.

$190 Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 8)

#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 8)

100%

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj

$10.4K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends há 16 minutos

#2 Spotify artist in May?

#2 Spotify artist in May?

80%

Lady Gaga

$1.4K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends em 23 dias

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

56%

2

$3M Vol.

$103K Liq.

18

Ends em 8 meses

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

100%

Drake

$108K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

52%

$4.7K Vol.

$90 Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Top Spotify artist in May?

Top Spotify artist in May?

43%

Bruno Mars

$9.1K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

1

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

59%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$3.9K Vol.

$417 Liq.

Ends em 2 dias

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

59%

160-179

$43.7K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

85%

Daddy

$57.1K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

14

Ends em 7 dias

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Outdoor Hot 100.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Outdoor Hot 100 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Outdoor Hot 100 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.