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2026 Song of the Summer

icon for 2026 Song of the Summer

2026 Song of the Summer

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 3.8%

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson 3.4%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless 1.0%

Bangaranga - DARA <1%

Polymarket

$15,598 Vol.

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 3.8%

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson 3.4%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless 1.0%

Bangaranga - DARA <1%

Polymarket

$15,598 Vol.

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$3,411 Vol.

4%

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson

$438 Vol.

3%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless

$2,171 Vol.

1%

Bangaranga - DARA

$1,374 Vol.

1%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks

$1,734 Vol.

1%

Kingdom of Fear - Cameron Whitcomb

$1,813 Vol.

<1%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike

$1,169 Vol.

<1%

CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro

$1,052 Vol.

<1%

Raindance - Dave & Tems

$1,296 Vol.

<1%

Talk To You - ANOTR & 54 Ultra

$1,141 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).With no clear frontrunner among the field of contenders priced near even money, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the 2026 Song of the Summer race just days into the season. Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” released May 29 and recently topping the Billboard Hot 100, holds a modest edge at 46% implied probability thanks to its established streaming base and pop momentum, yet faces immediate competition from dance-leaning tracks like Bebe Rexha & Faithless’ “New Religion” and ANOTR & 54 Ultra’s “Talk To You,” plus global-leaning cuts such as ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro’s “CHÉVERE.” Spotify’s May predictions and early Billboard data underscore how streaming velocity, viral TikTok traction, and genre diversity—ranging from nostalgic house to country crossovers—will determine which song pulls ahead as weekly chart updates and summer playlists solidify.

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Volume
$15,598
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).With no clear frontrunner among the field of contenders priced near even money, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the 2026 Song of the Summer race just days into the season. Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” released May 29 and recently topping the Billboard Hot 100, holds a modest edge at 46% implied probability thanks to its established streaming base and pop momentum, yet faces immediate competition from dance-leaning tracks like Bebe Rexha & Faithless’ “New Religion” and ANOTR & 54 Ultra’s “Talk To You,” plus global-leaning cuts such as ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro’s “CHÉVERE.” Spotify’s May predictions and early Billboard data underscore how streaming velocity, viral TikTok traction, and genre diversity—ranging from nostalgic house to country crossovers—will determine which song pulls ahead as weekly chart updates and summer playlists solidify.

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Volume
$15,598
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 10, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Song of the Summer" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at 4%, followed by "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Song of the Summer" has generated $15.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Song of the Summer," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "2026 Song of the Summer" is "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at just 4%, with "Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson" close behind at 3%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "2026 Song of the Summer" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.