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AS previsões e probabilidades

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Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$50M Vol.

$535K today

$3M Liq.

100

Ends em 6 meses

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

1%

$912K Vol.

$154K today

$305K Liq.

1

Ends em 23 dias

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$73.5K today

$251K Liq.

95

Ends em 6 dias

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Vol.

$208K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

21%

$386K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

141

Ends em 23 dias

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$167K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M Vol.

$191K today

$512K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

14%

$8M Vol.

$828K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

51%

No Announcement by June 30

$637K Vol.

$120K Liq.

19

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

15

Ends em 7 dias

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

99%

June 30

$52.7K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

15%

June 30, 2026

$758K Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

44

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

10%

$563K Vol.

$39.7K Liq.

25

Ends em 8 meses

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma

Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma

64%

AS Roma

$5.2K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

15%

$143K Vol.

$83.4K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

95%

May 15–22

$78.8K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

16%

$2M Vol.

$77.8K Liq.

89

Ends em 8 meses

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

61%

$52.4K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

19

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

AS FAR vs. OC Safi

AS FAR vs. OC Safi

68%

AS FAR

$3.2K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends em 5 minutos

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

56%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$103K Liq.

64

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like AS.

Polymarket currently hosts 3018 active markets for AS that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $81.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on AS predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.