Skip to main content

AS previsões e probabilidades

·
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

12%

$9M Vol.

$57.4K today

$262K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

41%

$347K Vol.

$53.4K today

$43.4K Liq.

67

Ends em 29 dias

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$6M Vol.

$251K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$3M Vol.

$94.9K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10%

$7M Vol.

$315K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$4M Vol.

$799K Liq.

1

Ends há cerca de 21 horas

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

27%

$243K Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

JD Vance out as VP by...?

JD Vance out as VP by...?

10%

December 31

$102K Vol.

$158K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

64%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$75.5K Liq.

73

Ends em 29 dias

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?

72%

No Announcement by June 30

$905K Vol.

$172K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

15%

June 30, 2026

$815K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

45

Ends há 2 meses

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

8%

June 30

$68.7K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

3

Ends em 29 dias

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

<1%

$752K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 21 horas

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

13%

$54.5K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

18%

$2M Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

89

Ends em 7 meses

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

4%

$174K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

Ends em 29 dias

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

13%

$272K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

18

Ends em 29 dias

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$359K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

63

Ends em 7 meses

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by...?

1%

May 31

$475K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

193

Ends em 29 dias

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

8%

$586K Vol.

$32.0K Liq.

25

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like AS.

Polymarket currently hosts 3125 active markets for AS that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump out as President before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump out as President before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on AS predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.