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Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?

Market icon

Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?

Paramount 81%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 18%

Netflix <1%

Comcast <1%

Polymarket

$972,753 Vol.

Paramount 81%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 18%

Netflix <1%

Comcast <1%

Polymarket

$972,753 Vol.

Paramount

$434,035 Vol.

81%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027

$153,526 Vol.

18%

Netflix

$213,554 Vol.

<1%

Comcast

$171,639 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders are set to vote on April 23, 2026, to approve Paramount's $110 billion all-cash acquisition at $31 per share, following the definitive merger agreement signed February 27 after Paramount outbid Netflix and Comcast in a heated contest. Trader consensus prices Paramount at 81% implied probability, driven by the board's strong recommendation and expected Q3 close, bolstered by $6 billion in projected synergies from streaming and operations consolidation. Recent opposition intensified yesterday as theater owners urged state attorneys general to scrutinize the deal over antitrust risks, job losses, and higher ticket prices, fueling the 17.5% odds on no closure by June 30, 2027 amid ongoing DOJ and FTC reviews. Netflix and Comcast chances remain negligible post-withdrawal.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Volume
$972,753
Data de Término
30 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Warner Bros. Discovery shareholders are set to vote on April 23, 2026, to approve Paramount's $110 billion all-cash acquisition at $31 per share, following the definitive merger agreement signed February 27 after Paramount outbid Netflix and Comcast in a heated contest. Trader consensus prices Paramount at 81% implied probability, driven by the board's strong recommendation and expected Q3 close, bolstered by $6 billion in projected synergies from streaming and operations consolidation. Recent opposition intensified yesterday as theater owners urged state attorneys general to scrutinize the deal over antitrust risks, job losses, and higher ticket prices, fueling the 17.5% odds on no closure by June 30, 2027 amid ongoing DOJ and FTC reviews. Netflix and Comcast chances remain negligible post-withdrawal.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Volume
$972,753
Data de Término
30 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paramount" at 81%, followed by "Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" has generated $972.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" is "Paramount" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.