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Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?

Market icon
Desporto·UFC

Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Jean Silva 37%

Movsar Evloev 12%

Lerone Murphy 4.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Alexander Volkanovski 53%

Jean Silva 37%

Movsar Evloev 12%

Lerone Murphy 4.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Alexander Volkanovski

$0 Vol.

41%

Jean Silva

$0 Vol.

37%

Movsar Evloev

$4,278 Vol.

12%

Lerone Murphy

$1,299 Vol.

4%

Steve Garcia

$0 Vol.

3%

Arnold Allen

$0 Vol.

2%

Brian Ortega

$0 Vol.

2%

Aljamain Sterling

$338 Vol.

1%

Youssef Zalal

$0 Vol.

1%

Diego Lopes

$0 Vol.

<1%

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability to be UFC Featherweight champion at year-end, bolstered by his unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes in a January 31 rematch at UFC 325, extending his record to 28-4 and reaffirming his dominance in the division. Undefeated contender Movsar Evloev (20-0, 10-0 UFC) solidified his No. 1 ranking with a controversial majority decision over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event last weekend, prompting Volkanovski and UFC CEO Dana White to endorse him for the next title shot and boosting his 12% standing. Rising finisher Jean Silva (17-3) follows at 18.5% after a January win over Arnold Allen, though his prior TKO loss to Lopes tempers expectations amid his bold callout vowing to quit UFC if defeated by Volkanovski. Lower probabilities reflect recent setbacks like Murphy's defeat and stagnant paths for Ortega, Sterling, and others amid a competitive title picture.

Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability to be UFC Featherweight champion at year-end, bolstered by his unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes in a January 31 rematch at UFC 325, extending his record to 28-4 and reaffirming his dominance in the division. Undefeated contender Movsar Evloev (20-0, 10-0 UFC) solidified his No. 1 ranking with a controversial majority decision over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event last weekend, prompting Volkanovski and UFC CEO Dana White to endorse him for the next title shot and boosting his 12% standing. Rising finisher Jean Silva (17-3) follows at 18.5% after a January win over Arnold Allen, though his prior TKO loss to Lopes tempers expectations amid his bold callout vowing to quit UFC if defeated by Volkanovski. Lower probabilities reflect recent setbacks like Murphy's defeat and stagnant paths for Ortega, Sterling, and others amid a competitive title picture.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability to be UFC Featherweight champion at year-end, bolstered by his unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes in a January 31 rematch at UFC 325, extending his record to 28-4 and reaffirming his dominance in the division. Undefeated contender Movsar Evloev (20-0, 10-0 UFC) solidified his No. 1 ranking with a controversial majority decision over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event last weekend, prompting Volkanovski and UFC CEO Dana White to endorse him for the next title shot and boosting his 12% standing. Rising finisher Jean Silva (17-3) follows at 18.5% after a January win over Arnold Allen, though his prior TKO loss to Lopes tempers expectations amid his bold callout vowing to quit UFC if defeated by Volkanovski. Lower probabilities reflect recent setbacks like Murphy's defeat and stagnant paths for Ortega, Sterling, and others amid a competitive title picture.

Alexander Volkanovski leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability to be UFC Featherweight champion at year-end, bolstered by his unanimous decision title defense over Diego Lopes in a January 31 rematch at UFC 325, extending his record to 28-4 and reaffirming his dominance in the division. Undefeated contender Movsar Evloev (20-0, 10-0 UFC) solidified his No. 1 ranking with a controversial majority decision over Lerone Murphy in the UFC London main event last weekend, prompting Volkanovski and UFC CEO Dana White to endorse him for the next title shot and boosting his 12% standing. Rising finisher Jean Silva (17-3) follows at 18.5% after a January win over Arnold Allen, though his prior TKO loss to Lopes tempers expectations amid his bold callout vowing to quit UFC if defeated by Volkanovski. Lower probabilities reflect recent setbacks like Murphy's defeat and stagnant paths for Ortega, Sterling, and others amid a competitive title picture.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 41%, followed by "Jean Silva" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" is "Alexander Volkanovski" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jean Silva" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem será o campeão peso pena do UFC no final de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.