Vice President JD Vance leads trader consensus on Polymarket as the most likely to announce a presidential bid before 2027, reflecting his strong position within the Republican Party post-Trump's 2024 win and term limits barring a 2028 Trump run. No major candidates have formally declared for the 2028 cycle, but Democrats like California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer show early positioning through national appearances and fundraising. GOP figures including Sens. J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, plus independents like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., trail in implied probabilities. Key catalysts ahead include 2026 midterms, which could reshape party fields, and potential cabinet roles influencing viability. Odds capture crowd wisdom amid fluid post-election dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQuem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2027?
$190,862 Vol.

Mark Kelly
21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
19%

Rand Paul
17%

J.D. Vance
17%

Brian Kemp
17%

Gavin Newsom
16%

Pete Buttigieg
16%

Kamala Harris
15%

Ted Cruz
15%

Nikki Haley
14%

Ron DeSantis
14%

Gina Raimondo
13%

Jared Polis
13%

John Fetterman
13%

Tucker Carlson
13%

Elise Stefanik
13%

Mark Cuban
13%

Tulsi Gabbard
12%

Kristi Noem
12%

Wes Moore
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%

Steve Bannon
12%

Katie Britt
11%

Phil Murphy
11%

John Thune
11%

Donald Trump
11%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Andrew Yang
10%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
10%

J.B. Pritzker
10%

Cory Booker
9%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
9%

Mike Pence
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Beto O’Rourke
8%

Marco Rubio
8%

Liz Cheney
8%

Jon Stewart
8%

George Clooney
8%

Oprah Winfrey
8%

Hillary Clinton
8%

Greg Abbott
8%

Andy Beshear
8%

Kim Kardashian
8%

Josh Hawley
7%

Chelsea Clinton
7%

Tom Brady
7%

Bernie Sanders
7%

Stephen A. Smith
7%

Josh Shapiro
7%

Byron Donalds
7%

Raphael Warnock
6%

Roy Cooper
6%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Tim Walz
6%

Elon Musk
6%

Hunter Biden
5%

Ivanka Trump
5%

Erika Kirk
4%

Michelle Obama
4%

Barack Obama
4%

Zohran Mamdani
4%

MrBeast
3%

LeBron James
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
52%

Candace Owens
39%
$190,862 Vol.

Mark Kelly
21%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
19%

Rand Paul
17%

J.D. Vance
17%

Brian Kemp
17%

Gavin Newsom
16%

Pete Buttigieg
16%

Kamala Harris
15%

Ted Cruz
15%

Nikki Haley
14%

Ron DeSantis
14%

Gina Raimondo
13%

Jared Polis
13%

John Fetterman
13%

Tucker Carlson
13%

Elise Stefanik
13%

Mark Cuban
13%

Tulsi Gabbard
12%

Kristi Noem
12%

Wes Moore
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%

Steve Bannon
12%

Katie Britt
11%

Phil Murphy
11%

John Thune
11%

Donald Trump
11%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Andrew Yang
10%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
10%

J.B. Pritzker
10%

Cory Booker
9%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
9%

Mike Pence
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Beto O’Rourke
8%

Marco Rubio
8%

Liz Cheney
8%

Jon Stewart
8%

George Clooney
8%

Oprah Winfrey
8%

Hillary Clinton
8%

Greg Abbott
8%

Andy Beshear
8%

Kim Kardashian
8%

Josh Hawley
7%

Chelsea Clinton
7%

Tom Brady
7%

Bernie Sanders
7%

Stephen A. Smith
7%

Josh Shapiro
7%

Byron Donalds
7%

Raphael Warnock
6%

Roy Cooper
6%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Tim Walz
6%

Elon Musk
6%

Hunter Biden
5%

Ivanka Trump
5%

Erika Kirk
4%

Michelle Obama
4%

Barack Obama
4%

Zohran Mamdani
4%

MrBeast
3%

LeBron James
1%

Gretchen Whitmer
52%

Candace Owens
39%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance leads trader consensus on Polymarket as the most likely to announce a presidential bid before 2027, reflecting his strong position within the Republican Party post-Trump's 2024 win and term limits barring a 2028 Trump run. No major candidates have formally declared for the 2028 cycle, but Democrats like California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer show early positioning through national appearances and fundraising. GOP figures including Sens. J.D. Vance and Marco Rubio, plus independents like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., trail in implied probabilities. Key catalysts ahead include 2026 midterms, which could reshape party fields, and potential cabinet roles influencing viability. Odds capture crowd wisdom amid fluid post-election dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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