Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Antes de 1º de abril 50%

Após 30 de abril 11%

1 a 4 de abril 9%

13 a 16 de abril 9%

Polymarket
NEW

$39,773 Vol.

Antes de 1º de abril 50%

Após 30 de abril 11%

1 a 4 de abril 9%

13 a 16 de abril 9%

Polymarket
NEW

$39,773 Vol.

Antes de 1º de abril

$14,990 Vol.

50%

1 a 4 de abril

$142 Vol.

9%

5-8 de abril

$33 Vol.

13%

9 a 12 de abril

$33 Vol.

14%

13 a 16 de abril

$5,559 Vol.

9%

17-20 de abril

$33 Vol.

7%

21-24 de abril

$16,536 Vol.

8%

25 a 28 de abril

$1,143 Vol.

6%

29-30 de abril

$1,185 Vol.

6%

Após 30 de abril

$117 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders price a 49% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, reflecting House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent push for a short-term continuing resolution to avert a March 31 funding cliff, following intense bipartisan talks after conservative Republicans blocked full-year appropriations bills. A March 22 CR narrowly passed the House despite Freedom Caucus opposition demanding deeper spending cuts, with Senate Democrats securing protections for non-defense priorities; President Biden urged swift action to avoid furloughs impacting DHS operations like border security and disaster response. Floor votes this week could tip the balance, though holdouts keep April 5-8 (12.5%) and later buckets competitive amid historical patterns of last-minute deals in shutdown brinkmanship.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$39,773
Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders price a 49% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, reflecting House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent push for a short-term continuing resolution to avert a March 31 funding cliff, following intense bipartisan talks after conservative Republicans blocked full-year appropriations bills. A March 22 CR narrowly passed the House despite Freedom Caucus opposition demanding deeper spending cuts, with Senate Democrats securing protections for non-defense priorities; President Biden urged swift action to avoid furloughs impacting DHS operations like border security and disaster response. Floor votes this week could tip the balance, though holdouts keep April 5-8 (12.5%) and later buckets competitive amid historical patterns of last-minute deals in shutdown brinkmanship.

Traders price a 49% chance the DHS shutdown ends before April 1, reflecting House Speaker Mike Johnson's recent push for a short-term continuing resolution to avert a March 31 funding cliff, following intense bipartisan talks after conservative Republicans blocked full-year appropriations bills. A March 22 CR narrowly passed the House despite Freedom Caucus opposition demanding deeper spending cuts, with Senate Democrats securing protections for non-defense priorities; President Biden urged swift action to avoid furloughs impacting DHS operations like border security and disaster response. Floor votes this week could tip the balance, though holdouts keep April 5-8 (12.5%) and later buckets competitive amid historical patterns of last-minute deals in shutdown brinkmanship.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Antes de 1º de abril" at 50%, followed by "9 a 12 de abril" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" has generated $39.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is "Antes de 1º de abril" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9 a 12 de abril" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.