Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Antes de 1º de abril 77%

13 a 16 de abril 5%

Após 30 de abril 5%

17-20 de abril 5%

Polymarket
NEW

$42,156 Vol.

Antes de 1º de abril 77%

13 a 16 de abril 5%

Após 30 de abril 5%

17-20 de abril 5%

Polymarket
NEW

$42,156 Vol.

Antes de 1º de abril

$16,673 Vol.

77%

1 a 4 de abril

$206 Vol.

3%

5-8 de abril

$83 Vol.

3%

9 a 12 de abril

$104 Vol.

4%

13 a 16 de abril

$5,638 Vol.

5%

17-20 de abril

$99 Vol.

5%

21-24 de abril

$16,606 Vol.

3%

25 a 28 de abril

$1,203 Vol.

2%

29-30 de abril

$1,251 Vol.

3%

Após 30 de abril

$294 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Congressional passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion spending package on March 22 (House 345-79) and March 23 (Senate 74-24), followed by President Biden's signature, has driven trader consensus toward DHS shutdown resolution before April 1 at 78.5%, as the bill funds the Department of Homeland Security and most agencies through September 30, averting a lapse amid disputes over border security appropriations and debt ceiling concerns. This reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on sustained government operations via the omnibus measure, which overcame conservative holdouts on spending cuts. Remaining low probabilities for mid-April dates account for slim risks of procedural delays or supplemental funding fights, though no major catalysts loom before the fiscal year-end.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$42,156
Data de Término
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.Congressional passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion spending package on March 22 (House 345-79) and March 23 (Senate 74-24), followed by President Biden's signature, has driven trader consensus toward DHS shutdown resolution before April 1 at 78.5%, as the bill funds the Department of Homeland Security and most agencies through September 30, averting a lapse amid disputes over border security appropriations and debt ceiling concerns. This reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on sustained government operations via the omnibus measure, which overcame conservative holdouts on spending cuts. Remaining low probabilities for mid-April dates account for slim risks of procedural delays or supplemental funding fights, though no major catalysts loom before the fiscal year-end.

Congressional passage of a bipartisan $1.2 trillion spending package on March 22 (House 345-79) and March 23 (Senate 74-24), followed by President Biden's signature, has driven trader consensus toward DHS shutdown resolution before April 1 at 78.5%, as the bill funds the Department of Homeland Security and most agencies through September 30, averting a lapse amid disputes over border security appropriations and debt ceiling concerns. This reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on sustained government operations via the omnibus measure, which overcame conservative holdouts on spending cuts. Remaining low probabilities for mid-April dates account for slim risks of procedural delays or supplemental funding fights, though no major catalysts loom before the fiscal year-end.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Antes de 1º de abril" at 77%, followed by "13 a 16 de abril" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" has generated $42.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is "Antes de 1º de abril" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13 a 16 de abril" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.