Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to H100 GPU rental prices hitting $2.75 or higher on the Silicon Data H100 Index by April 30, driven by a recent 40% surge in one-year contract pricing to $2.35 per hour per SemiAnalysis data, fueled by exploding AI demand from models like Anthropic's Claude 4.6 Opus and surging token consumption across training and inference workloads. Persistent memory shortages (HBM3e, DRAM up 4-5x) and Blackwell GPU deployment delays to June-July have tightened Neocloud supply, with spot rates varying from $1.38-$14 per hour amid hyperscaler sellouts. Upcoming catalysts include potential GB300 cluster ramps and Q2 earnings from NVIDIA and AI labs, though execution risks could temper further upside if supply unexpectedly eases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoOs preços de aluguer de GPU (H100) atingiram___ até 30 de abril?
Os preços de aluguer de GPU (H100) atingiram___ até 30 de abril?
$322,623 Vol.
↑ $4,00
2%
↑ $3,50
2%
↑ $3,00
7%
↑ $2,75
95%
↓ $2,20
1%
↓ US$2,10
1%
↓ $2,00
3%
↓ $1,75
2%
↓ $1,50
1%
$322,623 Vol.
↑ $4,00
2%
↑ $3,50
2%
↑ $3,00
7%
↑ $2,75
95%
↓ $2,20
1%
↓ US$2,10
1%
↓ $2,00
3%
↓ $1,75
2%
↓ $1,50
1%
The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 3, 2026, 10:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to H100 GPU rental prices hitting $2.75 or higher on the Silicon Data H100 Index by April 30, driven by a recent 40% surge in one-year contract pricing to $2.35 per hour per SemiAnalysis data, fueled by exploding AI demand from models like Anthropic's Claude 4.6 Opus and surging token consumption across training and inference workloads. Persistent memory shortages (HBM3e, DRAM up 4-5x) and Blackwell GPU deployment delays to June-July have tightened Neocloud supply, with spot rates varying from $1.38-$14 per hour amid hyperscaler sellouts. Upcoming catalysts include potential GB300 cluster ramps and Q2 earnings from NVIDIA and AI labs, though execution risks could temper further upside if supply unexpectedly eases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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