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Finanças·Mensalmente

O que o SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) atingirá em abril de 2026?

Market icon
Finanças·Mensalmente

O que o SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) atingirá em abril de 2026?

NEW
May 1, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $720

$0 Vol.

30%

↑ $710

$0 Vol.

40%

↑ $700

$0 Vol.

50%

↑ $690

$0 Vol.

60%

↑ $680

$0 Vol.

70%

↑ $670

$0 Vol.

80%

↑ $660

$0 Vol.

60%

↓ $650

$0 Vol.

74%

↓ $640

$0 Vol.

74%

↓ $630

$0 Vol.

70%

↓ $620

$0 Vol.

70%

↓ $610

$0 Vol.

60%

↓ $600

$0 Vol.

31%

↓ $590

$0 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500, tracked by SPY at around $634 as of March 27 close, has declined nearly 7% year-to-date through late March 2026, reflecting trader caution from the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% amid sticky core PCE inflation projections of 2.7% for 2026 and unemployment steady at 4.4%. Geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict and elevated oil prices, have driven volatility, though rebounds followed diplomatic optimism on March 25 and a Trump policy announcement on March 23. Key April catalysts include FOMC minutes on April 8, March CPI data on April 10, and Q1 earnings season starting late April, where beats in tech revenue growth could lift sentiment against a backdrop of revised year-end index targets around 7,200 by firms like JPMorgan.

The S&P 500, tracked by SPY at around $634 as of March 27 close, has declined nearly 7% year-to-date through late March 2026, reflecting trader caution from the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% amid sticky core PCE inflation projections of 2.7% for 2026 and unemployment steady at 4.4%. Geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict and elevated oil prices, have driven volatility, though rebounds followed diplomatic optimism on March 25 and a Trump policy announcement on March 23. Key April catalysts include FOMC minutes on April 8, March CPI data on April 10, and Q1 earnings season starting late April, where beats in tech revenue growth could lift sentiment against a backdrop of revised year-end index targets around 7,200 by firms like JPMorgan.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.The S&P 500, tracked by SPY at around $634 as of March 27 close, has declined nearly 7% year-to-date through late March 2026, reflecting trader caution from the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% amid sticky core PCE inflation projections of 2.7% for 2026 and unemployment steady at 4.4%. Geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict and elevated oil prices, have driven volatility, though rebounds followed diplomatic optimism on March 25 and a Trump policy announcement on March 23. Key April catalysts include FOMC minutes on April 8, March CPI data on April 10, and Q1 earnings season starting late April, where beats in tech revenue growth could lift sentiment against a backdrop of revised year-end index targets around 7,200 by firms like JPMorgan.

The S&P 500, tracked by SPY at around $634 as of March 27 close, has declined nearly 7% year-to-date through late March 2026, reflecting trader caution from the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% amid sticky core PCE inflation projections of 2.7% for 2026 and unemployment steady at 4.4%. Geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict and elevated oil prices, have driven volatility, though rebounds followed diplomatic optimism on March 25 and a Trump policy announcement on March 23. Key April catalysts include FOMC minutes on April 8, March CPI data on April 10, and Q1 earnings season starting late April, where beats in tech revenue growth could lift sentiment against a backdrop of revised year-end index targets around 7,200 by firms like JPMorgan.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O que o SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) atingirá em abril de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $650" at 74%, followed by "↓ $640" at 74%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"O que o SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) atingirá em abril de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "O que o SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) atingirá em abril de 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O que o SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) atingirá em abril de 2026?" is "↓ $650" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $640" at 74%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O que o SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) atingirá em abril de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.