Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in modest odds for a Trump cabinet secretary exiting by early 2025, driven by the administration's history of rapid turnover—over 70% of top roles changed in his first term—and current nominee controversies. Recent reports detail sexual misconduct allegations against Defense pick Pete Hegseth from former colleagues and Fox News sources, alongside scrutiny of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s HHS nomination over vaccine skepticism, fueling speculation of withdrawals or post-confirmation ousters. No confirmed secretaries have departed as Senate confirmation hearings commence in January 2025, with potential recess appointments or bipartisan pushback as key catalysts ahead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$0.00 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de março de 2026
Sim
30 de junho de 2026
Sim
31 de dezembro de 2026
Sim
$0.00 Vol.
31 de março de 2026
$0 Vol.
Sim
30 de junho de 2026
$0 Vol.
Sim
31 de dezembro de 2026
$0 Vol.
Sim
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in modest odds for a Trump cabinet secretary exiting by early 2025, driven by the administration's history of rapid turnover—over 70% of top roles changed in his first term—and current nominee controversies. Recent reports detail sexual misconduct allegations against Defense pick Pete Hegseth from former colleagues and Fox News sources, alongside scrutiny of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s HHS nomination over vaccine skepticism, fueling speculation of withdrawals or post-confirmation ousters. No confirmed secretaries have departed as Senate confirmation hearings commence in January 2025, with potential recess appointments or bipartisan pushback as key catalysts ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 4, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in modest odds for a Trump cabinet secretary exiting by early 2025, driven by the administration's history of rapid turnover—over 70% of top roles changed in his first term—and current nominee controversies. Recent reports detail sexual misconduct allegations against Defense pick Pete Hegseth from former colleagues and Fox News sources, alongside scrutiny of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s HHS nomination over vaccine skepticism, fueling speculation of withdrawals or post-confirmation ousters. No confirmed secretaries have departed as Senate confirmation hearings commence in January 2025, with potential recess appointments or bipartisan pushback as key catalysts ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.
Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.
For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.
Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 4, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices in modest odds for a Trump cabinet secretary exiting by early 2025, driven by the administration's history of rapid turnover—over 70% of top roles changed in his first term—and current nominee controversies. Recent reports detail sexual misconduct allegations against Defense pick Pete Hegseth from former colleagues and Fox News sources, alongside scrutiny of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s HHS nomination over vaccine skepticism, fueling speculation of withdrawals or post-confirmation ousters. No confirmed secretaries have departed as Senate confirmation hearings commence in January 2025, with potential recess appointments or bipartisan pushback as key catalysts ahead.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions