Market icon
Política·Starmer

Starmer para fora por...?

Market icon
Política·Starmer

Starmer para fora por...?

$10,148,870 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$10,148,870 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de março

$795,224 Vol.

1%

30 de abril

$71,452 Vol.

5%

30 de junho

$1,290,274 Vol.

43%

31 de dezembro

$807,803 Vol.

67%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a July 2024 landslide, faces early headwinds just months into its term, with trader consensus reflecting low odds of an imminent exit amid no-confidence threats or leadership challenges. Recent drivers include a narrow Commons victory on welfare reforms after a significant backbench rebellion, backlash over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners, and scrutiny of donor gifts prompting a gifts ban announcement. Polls show Labour trailing Reform UK and Conservatives, eroding the post-election honeymoon, though no formal party moves against Starmer have emerged. Key upcoming events include the Spring 2025 budget, local elections, and potential by-elections that could test party unity and public support, with a general election not required until 2029 but snap polls possible via no-confidence vote.

Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a July 2024 landslide, faces early headwinds just months into its term, with trader consensus reflecting low odds of an imminent exit amid no-confidence threats or leadership challenges. Recent drivers include a narrow Commons victory on welfare reforms after a significant backbench rebellion, backlash over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners, and scrutiny of donor gifts prompting a gifts ban announcement. Polls show Labour trailing Reform UK and Conservatives, eroding the post-election honeymoon, though no formal party moves against Starmer have emerged. Key upcoming events include the Spring 2025 budget, local elections, and potential by-elections that could test party unity and public support, with a general election not required until 2029 but snap polls possible via no-confidence vote.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a July 2024 landslide, faces early headwinds just months into its term, with trader consensus reflecting low odds of an imminent exit amid no-confidence threats or leadership challenges. Recent drivers include a narrow Commons victory on welfare reforms after a significant backbench rebellion, backlash over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners, and scrutiny of donor gifts prompting a gifts ban announcement. Polls show Labour trailing Reform UK and Conservatives, eroding the post-election honeymoon, though no formal party moves against Starmer have emerged. Key upcoming events include the Spring 2025 budget, local elections, and potential by-elections that could test party unity and public support, with a general election not required until 2029 but snap polls possible via no-confidence vote.

Keir Starmer's Labour government, elected in a July 2024 landslide, faces early headwinds just months into its term, with trader consensus reflecting low odds of an imminent exit amid no-confidence threats or leadership challenges. Recent drivers include a narrow Commons victory on welfare reforms after a significant backbench rebellion, backlash over winter fuel payment cuts for pensioners, and scrutiny of donor gifts prompting a gifts ban announcement. Polls show Labour trailing Reform UK and Conservatives, eroding the post-election honeymoon, though no formal party moves against Starmer have emerged. Key upcoming events include the Spring 2025 budget, local elections, and potential by-elections that could test party unity and public support, with a general election not required until 2029 but snap polls possible via no-confidence vote.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Starmer para fora por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 67%, followed by "30 de junho" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Starmer para fora por...?" has generated $10.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Starmer para fora por...?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Starmer para fora por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Starmer para fora por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.