Trader consensus heavily favors the CDU for second-most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtagswahl, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where the AfD leads at 38-40%, CDU follows at 25-27%, and Die Linke trails at 13% per the latest INSA poll through March 25. This positioning stems from the AfD's sustained dominance amid national discontent with the federal coalition, while CDU under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze—succeeding Reiner Haseloff in late January—holds steady as runner-up despite modest declines. Smaller parties like BSW, Grüne, SPD, and FDP hover below 6%, facing 5% threshold risks in proportional representation. No major shifts in the past week; upcoming campaign dynamics could influence final seat tallies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCDU 88%
AfD 7%
Os Verdes 3.6%
BSW 1.9%
$39,733 Vol.
$39,733 Vol.

CDU
88%

AfD
7%

Os Verdes
4%

BSW
2%

A Esquerda
1%

SPD
1%

FDP
1%
CDU 88%
AfD 7%
Os Verdes 3.6%
BSW 1.9%
$39,733 Vol.
$39,733 Vol.

CDU
88%

AfD
7%

Os Verdes
4%

BSW
2%

A Esquerda
1%

SPD
1%

FDP
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the CDU for second-most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's September 6 Landtagswahl, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfragen where the AfD leads at 38-40%, CDU follows at 25-27%, and Die Linke trails at 13% per the latest INSA poll through March 25. This positioning stems from the AfD's sustained dominance amid national discontent with the federal coalition, while CDU under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze—succeeding Reiner Haseloff in late January—holds steady as runner-up despite modest declines. Smaller parties like BSW, Grüne, SPD, and FDP hover below 6%, facing 5% threshold risks in proportional representation. No major shifts in the past week; upcoming campaign dynamics could influence final seat tallies.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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