Recent INSA polls through late March 2026 show the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, with the CDU solidly in second at 25%, followed distantly by Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Grüne (4%), and FDP (3%). This consistent trend across multiple Sonntagsfragen since January—AfD 38-40%, CDU 25-27%—drives trader consensus favoring CDU for second place under the state's proportional representation system, reflecting AfD's entrenched strength in eastern Germany amid ongoing voter concerns over migration and economy. Minor fluctuations, like Die Linke's recent gain, have not disrupted the hierarchy, though shifts in turnout or campaign momentum ahead of the September 6 election could alter outcomes. AfD's slim 6.5% reflects tail risks of slipping, while others trail far behind in aggregates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCDU 88%
AfD 7%
Os Verdes 2.6%
BSW 1.9%
$39,733 Vol.
$39,733 Vol.
6 set 2026
CDU
88%
AfD
7%
Os Verdes
3%
BSW
2%
SPD
1%
A Esquerda
1%
FDP
1%
CDU 88%
AfD 7%
Os Verdes 2.6%
BSW 1.9%
$39,733 Vol.
$39,733 Vol.
6 set 2026
CDU
$15,580 Vol.
88%
AfD
$443 Vol.
7%
Os Verdes
$557 Vol.
3%
BSW
$324 Vol.
2%
SPD
$21,401 Vol.
1%
A Esquerda
$327 Vol.
1%
FDP
$1,099 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent INSA polls through late March 2026 show the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, with the CDU solidly in second at 25%, followed distantly by Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Grüne (4%), and FDP (3%). This consistent trend across multiple Sonntagsfragen since January—AfD 38-40%, CDU 25-27%—drives trader consensus favoring CDU for second place under the state's proportional representation system, reflecting AfD's entrenched strength in eastern Germany amid ongoing voter concerns over migration and economy. Minor fluctuations, like Die Linke's recent gain, have not disrupted the hierarchy, though shifts in turnout or campaign momentum ahead of the September 6 election could alter outcomes. AfD's slim 6.5% reflects tail risks of slipping, while others trail far behind in aggregates.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volume
$39,733Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent INSA polls through late March 2026 show the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, with the CDU solidly in second at 25%, followed distantly by Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Grüne (4%), and FDP (3%). This consistent trend across multiple Sonntagsfragen since January—AfD 38-40%, CDU 25-27%—drives trader consensus favoring CDU for second place under the state's proportional representation system, reflecting AfD's entrenched strength in eastern Germany amid ongoing voter concerns over migration and economy. Minor fluctuations, like Die Linke's recent gain, have not disrupted the hierarchy, though shifts in turnout or campaign momentum ahead of the September 6 election could alter outcomes. AfD's slim 6.5% reflects tail risks of slipping, while others trail far behind in aggregates.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$39,733Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent INSA polls through late March 2026 show the AfD leading Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl at 38%, with the CDU solidly in second at 25%, followed distantly by Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Grüne (4%), and FDP (3%). This consistent trend across multiple Sonntagsfragen since January—AfD 38-40%, CDU 25-27%—drives trader consensus favoring CDU for second place under the state's proportional representation system, reflecting AfD's entrenched strength in eastern Germany amid ongoing voter concerns over migration and economy. Minor fluctuations, like Die Linke's recent gain, have not disrupted the hierarchy, though shifts in turnout or campaign momentum ahead of the September 6 election could alter outcomes. AfD's slim 6.5% reflects tail risks of slipping, while others trail far behind in aggregates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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