Market icon
Tecnologia·IPOs

OpenAI IPO por...?

Market icon
Tecnologia·IPOs

OpenAI IPO por...?

$1,128,281 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$1,128,281 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

30 de junho de 2026

$223,111 Vol.

4%

Market icon

31 de dezembro de 2026

$409,642 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation, has intensified trader consensus around a potential initial public offering, marking Silicon Valley's largest-ever raise and signaling aggressive IPO groundwork amid competitive pressures from Anthropic and others. Recent leadership reshuffles—including COO Brad Lightcap shifting to special projects focused on private equity partnerships and investor relations hires—reflect strategic pivots toward monetization via enterprise AI products like Codex, while addressing executive health issues and high cash burn rates projected at $19 billion for 2026 on $25 billion revenue. Wall Street Journal reports point to a Q4 2026 listing window, though profitability hurdles and Microsoft ties could delay; watch for SEC filings and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,128,281
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed March 31 at an $852 billion valuation, has intensified trader consensus around a potential initial public offering, marking Silicon Valley's largest-ever raise and signaling aggressive IPO groundwork amid competitive pressures from Anthropic and others. Recent leadership reshuffles—including COO Brad Lightcap shifting to special projects focused on private equity partnerships and investor relations hires—reflect strategic pivots toward monetization via enterprise AI products like Codex, while addressing executive health issues and high cash burn rates projected at $19 billion for 2026 on $25 billion revenue. Wall Street Journal reports point to a Q4 2026 listing window, though profitability hurdles and Microsoft ties could delay; watch for SEC filings and regulatory scrutiny on AI safety.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,128,281
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI IPO por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 37%, followed by "30 de junho de 2026" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI IPO por...?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI IPO por...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI IPO por...?" is "31 de dezembro de 2026" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho de 2026" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI IPO por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.