Trader consensus prices TISZA seats tightly clustered around 110–130 in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting divergent March polls ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election: independent surveys like Medián (March 20, projecting 101 single-member district wins) and Republikon (March 26) show TISZA leading 47–58% to Fidesz's 35–40%, implying 100+ total seats via 106 first-past-the-post districts and 93 proportional list seats, while government-aligned polls (Nézőpont, XXI. Század) narrow gaps to 5–9 points favoring Fidesz. This volatility stems from high undecided voters, rural turnout favoring incumbent Fidesz amid gerrymandering claims, and TISZA's momentum from Péter Magyar's anti-corruption push. Final-week polling shifts, scandals, or mobilization in battleground districts could widen separations toward majority (100 seats) or below.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
130+ 27%
120-129 24%
110–119 19%
100–109 11%
$463,629 Vol.
$463,629 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<70
9%
70–79
1%
80–89
8%
90–99
9%
100–109
11%
110–119
19%
120-129
24%
130+
27%
130+ 27%
120-129 24%
110–119 19%
100–109 11%
$463,629 Vol.
$463,629 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
<70
$348,201 Vol.
9%
70–79
$3,540 Vol.
1%
80–89
$50,425 Vol.
8%
90–99
$11,379 Vol.
9%
100–109
$17,470 Vol.
11%
110–119
$6,273 Vol.
19%
120-129
$5,624 Vol.
24%
130+
$20,716 Vol.
27%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices TISZA seats tightly clustered around 110–130 in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting divergent March polls ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election: independent surveys like Medián (March 20, projecting 101 single-member district wins) and Republikon (March 26) show TISZA leading 47–58% to Fidesz's 35–40%, implying 100+ total seats via 106 first-past-the-post districts and 93 proportional list seats, while government-aligned polls (Nézőpont, XXI. Század) narrow gaps to 5–9 points favoring Fidesz. This volatility stems from high undecided voters, rural turnout favoring incumbent Fidesz amid gerrymandering claims, and TISZA's momentum from Péter Magyar's anti-corruption push. Final-week polling shifts, scandals, or mobilization in battleground districts could widen separations toward majority (100 seats) or below.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$463,629Data de Término
Apr 12, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus prices TISZA seats tightly clustered around 110–130 in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting divergent March polls ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election: independent surveys like Medián (March 20, projecting 101 single-member district wins) and Republikon (March 26) show TISZA leading 47–58% to Fidesz's 35–40%, implying 100+ total seats via 106 first-past-the-post districts and 93 proportional list seats, while government-aligned polls (Nézőpont, XXI. Század) narrow gaps to 5–9 points favoring Fidesz. This volatility stems from high undecided voters, rural turnout favoring incumbent Fidesz amid gerrymandering claims, and TISZA's momentum from Péter Magyar's anti-corruption push. Final-week polling shifts, scandals, or mobilization in battleground districts could widen separations toward majority (100 seats) or below.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$463,629Data de Término
Apr 12, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices TISZA seats tightly clustered around 110–130 in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting divergent March polls ahead of the April 12 parliamentary election: independent surveys like Medián (March 20, projecting 101 single-member district wins) and Republikon (March 26) show TISZA leading 47–58% to Fidesz's 35–40%, implying 100+ total seats via 106 first-past-the-post districts and 93 proportional list seats, while government-aligned polls (Nézőpont, XXI. Század) narrow gaps to 5–9 points favoring Fidesz. This volatility stems from high undecided voters, rural turnout favoring incumbent Fidesz amid gerrymandering claims, and TISZA's momentum from Péter Magyar's anti-corruption push. Final-week polling shifts, scandals, or mobilization in battleground districts could widen separations toward majority (100 seats) or below.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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