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Política·Eleições Na Hungria

# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?

Market icon
Política·Eleições Na Hungria

# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?

<70 26%

70-84 25%

100-114 22%

85-99 14%

Polymarket

$328,417 Vol.

<70 26%

70-84 25%

100-114 22%

85-99 14%

Polymarket

$328,417 Vol.

<70

$20,431 Vol.

26%

70-84

$4,056 Vol.

25%

85-99

$6,612 Vol.

14%

100-114

$9,017 Vol.

22%

115-129

$288,300 Vol.

9%

130+

$0 Vol.

6%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls show Fidesz-KDNP holding a lead at around 42-45% nationally ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, but challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party has surged to 25-30% support, fueled by economic discontent, high inflation, and criticism of Viktor Orbán's EU standoff over frozen funds and rule-of-law disputes. This fragmentation of the opposition—previously split among DK, Momentum, and others—benefits Fidesz in the majoritarian system with 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, yet traders price a tight race clustering probabilities below 115 seats, doubting a repeat supermajority (133 needed). Tisza's momentum from the June 2024 European Parliament vote keeps lower seat totals viable, with upcoming candidate announcements and potential opposition coordination as key swing factors.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$328,417
Data de Término
Apr 12, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls show Fidesz-KDNP holding a lead at around 42-45% nationally ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, but challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party has surged to 25-30% support, fueled by economic discontent, high inflation, and criticism of Viktor Orbán's EU standoff over frozen funds and rule-of-law disputes. This fragmentation of the opposition—previously split among DK, Momentum, and others—benefits Fidesz in the majoritarian system with 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, yet traders price a tight race clustering probabilities below 115 seats, doubting a repeat supermajority (133 needed). Tisza's momentum from the June 2024 European Parliament vote keeps lower seat totals viable, with upcoming candidate announcements and potential opposition coordination as key swing factors.

Recent polls show Fidesz-KDNP holding a lead at around 42-45% nationally ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, but challenger Péter Magyar's Tisza party has surged to 25-30% support, fueled by economic discontent, high inflation, and criticism of Viktor Orbán's EU standoff over frozen funds and rule-of-law disputes. This fragmentation of the opposition—previously split among DK, Momentum, and others—benefits Fidesz in the majoritarian system with 106 single-member districts and 93 proportional list seats, yet traders price a tight race clustering probabilities below 115 seats, doubting a repeat supermajority (133 needed). Tisza's momentum from the June 2024 European Parliament vote keeps lower seat totals viable, with upcoming candidate announcements and potential opposition coordination as key swing factors.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<70" at 26%, followed by "70-84" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?" has generated $328.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?" is "<70" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "70-84" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of seats won by Fidesz-KDNP in Hungary parliamentary election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.