Ocean Infinity's deep-sea search for MH370 wreckage concluded in January 2026 after scanning over 7,500 square kilometers of the southern Indian Ocean across two phases, yielding no confirmed aircraft remains and solidifying trader consensus at 98.3% implied probability for "No" by June 30. This latest failure follows 12 years of exhaustive multinational efforts, including prior scans of 120,000 km², with only scattered debris confirmed on shores—never the main fuselage—amid ongoing public fascination with the enduring mystery. No new search contracts or credible leads have emerged since March announcements, leaving scant time for reversal. Realistic upsets hinge on an abrupt Malaysian government deal reviving operations with fresh data or serendipitous deep-sea findings, but historical patterns and vast search challenges make these improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoDestroços submarinos do MH370 encontrados até 30 de junho de 2026?
Destroços submarinos do MH370 encontrados até 30 de junho de 2026?
Sim
$88,109 Vol.
$88,109 Vol.
Sim
$88,109 Vol.
$88,109 Vol.
For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 4, 2025, 2:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of resolving this market, 'found' means that new underwater wreckage must be discovered between December 4, 2025 and June 30, 2026.
Wreckage that washed ashore/afloat and previous findings of wreckage will NOT qualify - only underwater wreckage will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
It is not necessary for the wreckage to be recovered, only that its location is definitively identified. If wreckage is located before the resolution date, but it unknown as to whether it came from MH370, this market may stay open until a consensus has been reached as to the wreckage's origin.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ocean Infinity's deep-sea search for MH370 wreckage concluded in January 2026 after scanning over 7,500 square kilometers of the southern Indian Ocean across two phases, yielding no confirmed aircraft remains and solidifying trader consensus at 98.3% implied probability for "No" by June 30. This latest failure follows 12 years of exhaustive multinational efforts, including prior scans of 120,000 km², with only scattered debris confirmed on shores—never the main fuselage—amid ongoing public fascination with the enduring mystery. No new search contracts or credible leads have emerged since March announcements, leaving scant time for reversal. Realistic upsets hinge on an abrupt Malaysian government deal reviving operations with fresh data or serendipitous deep-sea findings, but historical patterns and vast search challenges make these improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions