Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 employs a mixed-member majoritarian system, with parties requiring 5% of the national list vote to secure proportional seats beyond the 106 single-member constituencies. Recent polls, including Medián's March survey, show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP by 23 points at 58% to 35% among decided voters, widening from prior months amid strong youth support exceeding 60% for Tisza. Far-right Mi Hazánk polls near 6%, eyeing the threshold, while parties like DK and Momentum lag below. Trader consensus reflects Tisza's momentum from anti-incumbent sentiment, though Fidesz's rural base and final turnout could influence which parties enter the 199-seat unicameral parliament.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
$41,577 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
74%

MKKP
5%

DK
4%
$41,577 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
74%

MKKP
5%

DK
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12 employs a mixed-member majoritarian system, with parties requiring 5% of the national list vote to secure proportional seats beyond the 106 single-member constituencies. Recent polls, including Medián's March survey, show Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP by 23 points at 58% to 35% among decided voters, widening from prior months amid strong youth support exceeding 60% for Tisza. Far-right Mi Hazánk polls near 6%, eyeing the threshold, while parties like DK and Momentum lag below. Trader consensus reflects Tisza's momentum from anti-incumbent sentiment, though Fidesz's rural base and final turnout could influence which parties enter the 199-seat unicameral parliament.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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