Market icon

How many jobs added in October?

Market icon

How many jobs added in October?

<100k 100.0%

100-150k <1%

150-200k <1%

200-250k <1%

Polymarket

$117,279 Vol.

<100k 100.0%

100-150k <1%

150-200k <1%

200-250k <1%

Polymarket

$117,279 Vol.

Market icon

<100k

$24,771 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

100-150k

$25,273 Vol.

No

Market icon

150-200k

$6,147 Vol.

No

Market icon

200-250k

$5,499 Vol.

No

Market icon

>250k

$55,590 Vol.

No

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 100,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTotal nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 100,000 (inclusive) and 150,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTotal nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 150,000 (inclusive) and 200,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTotal nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 200,000 (inclusive) and 250,000 (inclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTotal nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains more than 250,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 100,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$117,279
Data de Término
Nov 1, 2024
Mercado Aberto
Oct 8, 2024, 11:48 AM ET
Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 100,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains less than 100,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTotal nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 100,000 (inclusive) and 150,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTotal nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 150,000 (inclusive) and 200,000 (exclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTotal nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains between 200,000 (inclusive) and 250,000 (inclusive) in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTotal nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 in August 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States gains more than 250,000 in nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September, scheduled to be released on November 1, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How many jobs added in October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<100k" at 100%, followed by "100-150k" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many jobs added in October?" has generated $117.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 8, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many jobs added in October?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many jobs added in October?" is "<100k" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100-150k" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many jobs added in October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.