Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?

Name: Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?
Start: 2025-12-04T20:35:17.135Z
End: 2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z

Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho? — Discussão

aouaouaou · 2025-12-04T20:35:17.135Z

Discussão sobre Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?. Os traders compartilham insights e previsões no Polymarket.

Clima E Ciência·Clima

Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?

8+ 56%

7 21%

6 17%

5 4.2%

$1,635,367 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

$183,337 Vol.

<1%

$92,598 Vol.

$153,132 Vol.

$104,396 Vol.

17%

$265,646 Vol.

21%

$511,497 Vol.

56%

8+ 56%

7 21%

6 17%

5 4.2%

$1,635,367 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026

$183,337 Vol.

<1%

$92,598 Vol.

$153,132 Vol.

$104,396 Vol.

17%

$265,646 Vol.

21%

$511,497 Vol.

56%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

Trader sentiment favors 8 or more magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes by June 30 at 56.5% implied probability, driven by USGS data confirming seven such events worldwide in 2024 through mid-June—Japan's January 7.6, Loyalty Islands' 7.4, Southeast Easter Island's 7.4, two April events near Solomon and Santa Cruz islands at 7.4 and 7.3, Banda Sea's 7.4, and Vanuatu's May 7.1—surpassing the historical mid-year average of about eight based on 15-20 annual occurrences. This accelerated pace in Pacific subduction zones, modeled as a Poisson process with roughly 1.25 events per month, positions exactly seven (21.5%) and six (17%) as next likely amid inherent forecasting uncertainty, with no reliable precursors for near-term activity.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 25, 2026, 8:44 AM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "8+" at 56%, followed by "7" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" is "8+" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "7" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.6 million traded on “Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 56¢ for "8+" in the "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 56% chance that "8+" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 56¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 44¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" market has an active community of 21 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?

Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (21)

Top Holders

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Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?"?

What are the current odds for "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?"?

How will "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?"?

What does a price of 56¢ for "8+" mean?

When does the "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Quantos terremotos 7.0 ou acima até 30 de junho?"?

What is Polymarket?