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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?

22°C or below 100.0%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$271,989 Vol.

22°C or below 100.0%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$271,989 Vol.

22°C or below

$26,351 Vol.

Yes

23°C

$14,263 Vol.

No

24°C

$11,892 Vol.

No

25°C

$13,284 Vol.

No

26°C

$12,182 Vol.

No

27°C

$11,903 Vol.

No

28°C

$7,693 Vol.

No

29°C

$12,584 Vol.

No

30°C

$6,161 Vol.

No

31°C

$5,211 Vol.

No

32°C or higher

$150,464 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau (CWB) latest guidance for March 29, 2026, projects Taipei's daytime high at 21–22°C amid mostly cloudy skies with 30% chance of occasional showers, suppressing solar insolation and capping surface temperatures at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site. Observed conditions align, with afternoon readings hovering around 21–22°C due to a lingering cool air mass from recent frontal activity, consistent with late-March climatological norms of 21–23°C averages. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 22°C or below reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with model outputs showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include brief clearing for transient heating to 23°C, though low probability as evening sets in and cloud persistence dominates; final NOAA data expected post-midnight UTC.

Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau (CWB) latest guidance for March 29, 2026, projects Taipei's daytime high at 21–22°C amid mostly cloudy skies with 30% chance of occasional showers, suppressing solar insolation and capping surface temperatures at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site. Observed conditions align, with afternoon readings hovering around 21–22°C due to a lingering cool air mass from recent frontal activity, consistent with late-March climatological norms of 21–23°C averages. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 22°C or below reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with model outputs showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include brief clearing for transient heating to 23°C, though low probability as evening sets in and cloud persistence dominates; final NOAA data expected post-midnight UTC.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau (CWB) latest guidance for March 29, 2026, projects Taipei's daytime high at 21–22°C amid mostly cloudy skies with 30% chance of occasional showers, suppressing solar insolation and capping surface temperatures at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site. Observed conditions align, with afternoon readings hovering around 21–22°C due to a lingering cool air mass from recent frontal activity, consistent with late-March climatological norms of 21–23°C averages. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 22°C or below reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with model outputs showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include brief clearing for transient heating to 23°C, though low probability as evening sets in and cloud persistence dominates; final NOAA data expected post-midnight UTC.

Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau (CWB) latest guidance for March 29, 2026, projects Taipei's daytime high at 21–22°C amid mostly cloudy skies with 30% chance of occasional showers, suppressing solar insolation and capping surface temperatures at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport—the NOAA-monitored resolution site. Observed conditions align, with afternoon readings hovering around 21–22°C due to a lingering cool air mass from recent frontal activity, consistent with late-March climatological norms of 21–23°C averages. Trader consensus at near-certainty for 22°C or below reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with model outputs showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include brief clearing for transient heating to 23°C, though low probability as evening sets in and cloud persistence dominates; final NOAA data expected post-midnight UTC.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "22°C or below" at 100%, followed by "23°C" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?" has generated $272K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?" is "22°C or below" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23°C" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.