Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 21°C in Taipei on March 28, driven by official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which recorded this precise maximum at standard meteorological stations amid cloudy skies and trace precipitation. This aligns with pre-event forecast models projecting daytime highs of 21–22°C under a cool continental air mass typical for late March, when Taipei's climatological average peaks around 20–22°C. Such strong market-implied odds reflect verified measurement data from calibrated thermometers, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc revisions, such as instrument malfunctions flagged in quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though CWA data carries authoritative weight for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 28?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$134,774 Vol.
$134,774 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$134,774 Vol.
$134,774 Vol.
Mar 28, 2026
16°C or below
$9,509 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,924 Vol.
No
18°C
$5,216 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,511 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,042 Vol.
No
21°C
$51,537 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$21,904 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,798 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,031 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,895 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$7,406 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 21°C in Taipei on March 28, driven by official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which recorded this precise maximum at standard meteorological stations amid cloudy skies and trace precipitation. This aligns with pre-event forecast models projecting daytime highs of 21–22°C under a cool continental air mass typical for late March, when Taipei's climatological average peaks around 20–22°C. Such strong market-implied odds reflect verified measurement data from calibrated thermometers, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc revisions, such as instrument malfunctions flagged in quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though CWA data carries authoritative weight for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$134,774Data de Término
Mar 28, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 21°C in Taipei on March 28, driven by official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which recorded this precise maximum at standard meteorological stations amid cloudy skies and trace precipitation. This aligns with pre-event forecast models projecting daytime highs of 21–22°C under a cool continental air mass typical for late March, when Taipei's climatological average peaks around 20–22°C. Such strong market-implied odds reflect verified measurement data from calibrated thermometers, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc revisions, such as instrument malfunctions flagged in quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though CWA data carries authoritative weight for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$134,774Data de Término
Mar 28, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Yes
Contestado
Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in at 100% for a highest temperature of 21°C in Taipei on March 28, driven by official observations from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA), which recorded this precise maximum at standard meteorological stations amid cloudy skies and trace precipitation. This aligns with pre-event forecast models projecting daytime highs of 21–22°C under a cool continental air mass typical for late March, when Taipei's climatological average peaks around 20–22°C. Such strong market-implied odds reflect verified measurement data from calibrated thermometers, minimizing uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc revisions, such as instrument malfunctions flagged in quality control or discrepancies across urban heat island-affected stations, though CWA data carries authoritative weight for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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