Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for a 27°C high in Shenzhen on April 1 at Bao'an International Airport, reflecting forecast models projecting peaks around 27-28°C amid partly cloudy skies and reduced humidity near 19%. Recent observations confirm a late-March warming trend, with 27°C recorded on March 29 and similar elevations prior, transitioning into early April's climatological norms of 26-27°C average highs influenced by subtropical high pressure and light northwest winds at 7 mph facilitating solar heating. Key uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup or model divergences in the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles; real-time airport data through evening will sharpen resolution as daytime maximums typically occur mid-afternoon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
29°C 8%
26°C <1%
$153,693 Vol.
$153,693 Vol.
1 abr 2026
23°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
76%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 18%
29°C 8%
26°C <1%
$153,693 Vol.
$153,693 Vol.
1 abr 2026
23°C
$26,039 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$27,578 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$18,460 Vol.
1%
27°C
$4,151 Vol.
76%
28°C
$4,678 Vol.
18%
29°C
$5,112 Vol.
8%
30°C
$6,090 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$6,327 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for a 27°C high in Shenzhen on April 1 at Bao'an International Airport, reflecting forecast models projecting peaks around 27-28°C amid partly cloudy skies and reduced humidity near 19%. Recent observations confirm a late-March warming trend, with 27°C recorded on March 29 and similar elevations prior, transitioning into early April's climatological norms of 26-27°C average highs influenced by subtropical high pressure and light northwest winds at 7 mph facilitating solar heating. Key uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup or model divergences in the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles; real-time airport data through evening will sharpen resolution as daytime maximums typically occur mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$153,693Data de Término
1 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for a 27°C high in Shenzhen on April 1 at Bao'an International Airport, reflecting forecast models projecting peaks around 27-28°C amid partly cloudy skies and reduced humidity near 19%. Recent observations confirm a late-March warming trend, with 27°C recorded on March 29 and similar elevations prior, transitioning into early April's climatological norms of 26-27°C average highs influenced by subtropical high pressure and light northwest winds at 7 mph facilitating solar heating. Key uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup or model divergences in the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles; real-time airport data through evening will sharpen resolution as daytime maximums typically occur mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$153,693Data de Término
1 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 65.5% implied probability for a 27°C high in Shenzhen on April 1 at Bao'an International Airport, reflecting forecast models projecting peaks around 27-28°C amid partly cloudy skies and reduced humidity near 19%. Recent observations confirm a late-March warming trend, with 27°C recorded on March 29 and similar elevations prior, transitioning into early April's climatological norms of 26-27°C average highs influenced by subtropical high pressure and light northwest winds at 7 mph facilitating solar heating. Key uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup or model divergences in the Global Forecast System and European Centre ensembles; real-time airport data through evening will sharpen resolution as daytime maximums typically occur mid-afternoon.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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