Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest for Shenzhen's April 1 highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, with 27°C (39.5%) edging 28°C (31.5%) and 26°C (22.5%), driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's latest forecast of a 27°C peak under partly cloudy conditions and 75–95% relative humidity. Recent advisories highlight thundershower risks that could cap temperatures at 26°C via increased cloud cover and convective cooling, while international models like BBC Weather project up to 29°C if afternoon insolation prevails. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects boosting urban highs above climatological early-April averages of ~25°C, sea breeze moderation, and model uncertainty in cloud timing; real-time observations and hourly updates will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 40%
28°C 33%
26°C 22%
29°C 8%
$106,150 Vol.
$106,150 Vol.
1 abr 2026
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
22%
27°C
40%
28°C
33%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 40%
28°C 33%
26°C 22%
29°C 8%
$106,150 Vol.
$106,150 Vol.
1 abr 2026
23°C
$24,910 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7,670 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,038 Vol.
3%
26°C
$3,286 Vol.
22%
27°C
$2,551 Vol.
40%
28°C
$2,306 Vol.
33%
29°C
$3,566 Vol.
8%
30°C
$4,895 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5,586 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest for Shenzhen's April 1 highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, with 27°C (39.5%) edging 28°C (31.5%) and 26°C (22.5%), driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's latest forecast of a 27°C peak under partly cloudy conditions and 75–95% relative humidity. Recent advisories highlight thundershower risks that could cap temperatures at 26°C via increased cloud cover and convective cooling, while international models like BBC Weather project up to 29°C if afternoon insolation prevails. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects boosting urban highs above climatological early-April averages of ~25°C, sea breeze moderation, and model uncertainty in cloud timing; real-time observations and hourly updates will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$106,150Data de Término
1 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest for Shenzhen's April 1 highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, with 27°C (39.5%) edging 28°C (31.5%) and 26°C (22.5%), driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's latest forecast of a 27°C peak under partly cloudy conditions and 75–95% relative humidity. Recent advisories highlight thundershower risks that could cap temperatures at 26°C via increased cloud cover and convective cooling, while international models like BBC Weather project up to 29°C if afternoon insolation prevails. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects boosting urban highs above climatological early-April averages of ~25°C, sea breeze moderation, and model uncertainty in cloud timing; real-time observations and hourly updates will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$106,150Data de Término
1 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest for Shenzhen's April 1 highest temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, with 27°C (39.5%) edging 28°C (31.5%) and 26°C (22.5%), driven by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau's latest forecast of a 27°C peak under partly cloudy conditions and 75–95% relative humidity. Recent advisories highlight thundershower risks that could cap temperatures at 26°C via increased cloud cover and convective cooling, while international models like BBC Weather project up to 29°C if afternoon insolation prevails. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects boosting urban highs above climatological early-April averages of ~25°C, sea breeze moderation, and model uncertainty in cloud timing; real-time observations and hourly updates will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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