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Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 30 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 30 de março?

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Mar 29

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

30°C 42%

29°C 37%

28°C 16%

31°C 5%

Polymarket
NEW

$15,747 Vol.

30°C 42%

29°C 37%

28°C 16%

31°C 5%

Polymarket
NEW

$15,747 Vol.

24°C ou menos

$2,298 Vol.

1%

25°C

$1,977 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$1,322 Vol.

1%

27°C

$1,544 Vol.

3%

28°C

$1,775 Vol.

16%

29°C

$1,542 Vol.

37%

30°C

$1,678 Vol.

42%

31°C

$803 Vol.

5%

32°C

$1,083 Vol.

1%

33°C

$893 Vol.

1%

34°C ou mais

$850 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 30°C high in São Paulo today, with 29°C at 34.5%, reflecting the latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo indicating mostly sunny skies and highs near 30°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over southeast Brazil. This stable anticyclone, in place since late last week, promotes subsidence that suppresses clouds and enhances daytime heating during the autumnal diurnal cycle, pushing temperatures slightly above the March climatological average of 27°C at official stations like Congonhas Airport. Isolated showers earlier in the week have dissipated, but minor model divergences on afternoon cloudiness introduce uncertainty, with real-time observations expected to resolve the market by evening.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 30°C high in São Paulo today, with 29°C at 34.5%, reflecting the latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo indicating mostly sunny skies and highs near 30°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over southeast Brazil. This stable anticyclone, in place since late last week, promotes subsidence that suppresses clouds and enhances daytime heating during the autumnal diurnal cycle, pushing temperatures slightly above the March climatological average of 27°C at official stations like Congonhas Airport. Isolated showers earlier in the week have dissipated, but minor model divergences on afternoon cloudiness introduce uncertainty, with real-time observations expected to resolve the market by evening.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 30°C high in São Paulo today, with 29°C at 34.5%, reflecting the latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo indicating mostly sunny skies and highs near 30°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over southeast Brazil. This stable anticyclone, in place since late last week, promotes subsidence that suppresses clouds and enhances daytime heating during the autumnal diurnal cycle, pushing temperatures slightly above the March climatological average of 27°C at official stations like Congonhas Airport. Isolated showers earlier in the week have dissipated, but minor model divergences on afternoon cloudiness introduce uncertainty, with real-time observations expected to resolve the market by evening.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45% implied probability for a 30°C high in São Paulo today, with 29°C at 34.5%, reflecting the latest forecasts from INMET and Climatempo indicating mostly sunny skies and highs near 30°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over southeast Brazil. This stable anticyclone, in place since late last week, promotes subsidence that suppresses clouds and enhances daytime heating during the autumnal diurnal cycle, pushing temperatures slightly above the March climatological average of 27°C at official stations like Congonhas Airport. Isolated showers earlier in the week have dissipated, but minor model divergences on afternoon cloudiness introduce uncertainty, with real-time observations expected to resolve the market by evening.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 30 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30°C" at 42%, followed by "29°C" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 30 de março?" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 30 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 30 de março?" is "30°C" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29°C" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 30 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.