Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 30°C across reference stations like IAG-USP and Mirante, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets await final verification. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from INMET and global models predicting maxima near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and no convective cooling, consistent with seasonal climatology for late March featuring urban heat island effects amplifying afternoon peaks. Realistic challenges include post hoc data revisions from extended monitoring or discrepancies between automatic and manual stations pushing readings to 31°C, though INMET's quality controls make this improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 29?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on March 29?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$117,409 Vol.
$117,409 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$117,409 Vol.
$117,409 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) observations confirm São Paulo's highest temperature on March 29, 2026, peaked at exactly 30°C across reference stations like IAG-USP and Mirante, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome as markets await final verification. This aligns with pre-event forecast consensus from INMET and global models predicting maxima near 30°C under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and no convective cooling, consistent with seasonal climatology for late March featuring urban heat island effects amplifying afternoon peaks. Realistic challenges include post hoc data revisions from extended monitoring or discrepancies between automatic and manual stations pushing readings to 31°C, though INMET's quality controls make this improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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