Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts, which project a high near 79°F for Miami on April 1 under dominant high pressure and east winds of 9-13 mph limiting daytime heating. The 43% implied probability for 80-81°F edges out 40% for 78-79°F due to potential for mostly sunny conditions post-morning showers, allowing slight warming above climatological early-April norms of around 81°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution site. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence and shower timing—lingering overcast favors the lower bin, while quicker clearing boosts the higher—amid model spread in short-range guidance. Updated observations throughout the day will sharpen this.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 36%
82-83°F 8%
76-77°F 4.0%
$146,431 Vol.
$146,431 Vol.
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 45%
78-79°F 36%
82-83°F 8%
76-77°F 4.0%
$146,431 Vol.
$146,431 Vol.
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts, which project a high near 79°F for Miami on April 1 under dominant high pressure and east winds of 9-13 mph limiting daytime heating. The 43% implied probability for 80-81°F edges out 40% for 78-79°F due to potential for mostly sunny conditions post-morning showers, allowing slight warming above climatological early-April norms of around 81°F at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the market's resolution site. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence and shower timing—lingering overcast favors the lower bin, while quicker clearing boosts the higher—amid model spread in short-range guidance. Updated observations throughout the day will sharpen this.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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