Hezbollah continues near-daily rocket and missile attacks on northern Israel amid the war that intensified on March 2, 2026, following the group's retaliation for Israeli-U.S. strikes on Iran, with Israeli ground operations advancing into southern Lebanon since March 16. Over the past 48 hours, Hezbollah launched barrages targeting Israeli troops and infrastructure near Haifa, including over 30 rockets at Kiryat Ata, while Israeli airstrikes killed seven in southern Lebanon and hit areas near Beirut's airport. Casualties mount on both sides, with Lebanon displacing nearly 700,000 amid Israeli vows for a security zone. UN Security Council talks seek a ceasefire, but escalation signals persist, shaping trader assessments of Hezbollah's sustained military actions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHezbollah military action against Israel on...?
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2,538,172 Vol.
31 mar 2026
March 21
Yes
March 22
Yes
March 23
Yes
March 24
Yes
March 25
Yes
March 26
Yes
March 27
Yes
March 28
Yes
March 29
Yes
March 30
Yes
March 31
Yes
$2,538,172 Vol.
March 21
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 22
$2,293,752 Vol.
Yes
March 23
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 24
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 25
$0 Vol.
Yes
March 26
$30,004 Vol.
Yes
March 27
$32,504 Vol.
Yes
March 28
$22,910 Vol.
Yes
March 29
$70,977 Vol.
Yes
March 30
$41,547 Vol.
Yes
March 31
$46,477 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah continues near-daily rocket and missile attacks on northern Israel amid the war that intensified on March 2, 2026, following the group's retaliation for Israeli-U.S. strikes on Iran, with Israeli ground operations advancing into southern Lebanon since March 16. Over the past 48 hours, Hezbollah launched barrages targeting Israeli troops and infrastructure near Haifa, including over 30 rockets at Kiryat Ata, while Israeli airstrikes killed seven in southern Lebanon and hit areas near Beirut's airport. Casualties mount on both sides, with Lebanon displacing nearly 700,000 amid Israeli vows for a security zone. UN Security Council talks seek a ceasefire, but escalation signals persist, shaping trader assessments of Hezbollah's sustained military actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$2,538,172Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Hezbollah continues near-daily rocket and missile attacks on northern Israel amid the war that intensified on March 2, 2026, following the group's retaliation for Israeli-U.S. strikes on Iran, with Israeli ground operations advancing into southern Lebanon since March 16. Over the past 48 hours, Hezbollah launched barrages targeting Israeli troops and infrastructure near Haifa, including over 30 rockets at Kiryat Ata, while Israeli airstrikes killed seven in southern Lebanon and hit areas near Beirut's airport. Casualties mount on both sides, with Lebanon displacing nearly 700,000 amid Israeli vows for a security zone. UN Security Council talks seek a ceasefire, but escalation signals persist, shaping trader assessments of Hezbollah's sustained military actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$2,538,172Data de Término
31 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Yes
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Yes
Hezbollah continues near-daily rocket and missile attacks on northern Israel amid the war that intensified on March 2, 2026, following the group's retaliation for Israeli-U.S. strikes on Iran, with Israeli ground operations advancing into southern Lebanon since March 16. Over the past 48 hours, Hezbollah launched barrages targeting Israeli troops and infrastructure near Haifa, including over 30 rockets at Kiryat Ata, while Israeli airstrikes killed seven in southern Lebanon and hit areas near Beirut's airport. Casualties mount on both sides, with Lebanon displacing nearly 700,000 amid Israeli vows for a security zone. UN Security Council talks seek a ceasefire, but escalation signals persist, shaping trader assessments of Hezbollah's sustained military actions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions