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First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?

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First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?

>99% acaso
Polymarket

$43,436 Vol.

>99% acaso
Polymarket

$43,436 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred.

If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volume
$43,436
Data de Término
24 jun 2025
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred.

If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volume
$43,436
Data de Término
24 jun 2025
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" has generated $43.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.