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Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Market icon

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 34.8%

França 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Austrália 7.9%

Polymarket

$50,037,980 Vol.

Finlândia 34.8%

França 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Austrália 7.9%

Polymarket

$50,037,980 Vol.

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Finlândia

$1,824,855 Vol.

35%

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França

$1,376,039 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$889,256 Vol.

10%

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Austrália

$1,151,712 Vol.

8%

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Grécia

$1,280,216 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,201,436 Vol.

4%

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Suécia

$923,186 Vol.

4%

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Itália

$1,490,086 Vol.

2%

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Ucrânia

$1,090,338 Vol.

2%

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Romênia

$876,206 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,088,873 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$940,564 Vol.

1%

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Chéquia

$757,984 Vol.

1%

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Bulgária

$1,101,265 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$2,207,600 Vol.

1%

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Moldávia

$1,065,345 Vol.

1%

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Alemanha

$877,550 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,019,489 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$673,126 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,230,428 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$934,190 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,250,209 Vol.

1%

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Albânia

$1,906,525 Vol.

<1%

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Letônia

$1,987,841 Vol.

<1%

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Armênia

$1,974,083 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijão

$2,342,974 Vol.

<1%

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Geórgia

$2,022,944 Vol.

<1%

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Lituânia

$1,472,663 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,561,735 Vol.

<1%

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Polônia

$1,855,556 Vol.

<1%

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Sérvia

$767,496 Vol.

<1%

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Áustria

$1,732,963 Vol.

<1%

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Estônia

$2,233,112 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,876,651 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,056,106 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by its February 28 UMK triumph blending virtuoso violin with theatrical flamethrower visuals that dominated both jury and public votes, sparking viral buzz and early model projections. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% after "Regarde!"'s recent operatic reveal propelled jury favoritism, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.3% on melodic televote appeal. Australia (7.9%) eyes jury strength potentially via Delta Goodrem, and Greece (6.6%) gains from fan polls amid ethnic diaspora support. With all 35 entries released, trader consensus highlights jury-televote divergences and staging previews as pivotal ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 semis and final.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by its February 28 UMK triumph blending virtuoso violin with theatrical flamethrower visuals that dominated both jury and public votes, sparking viral buzz and early model projections. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% after "Regarde!"'s recent operatic reveal propelled jury favoritism, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.3% on melodic televote appeal. Australia (7.9%) eyes jury strength potentially via Delta Goodrem, and Greece (6.6%) gains from fan polls amid ethnic diaspora support. With all 35 entries released, trader consensus highlights jury-televote divergences and staging previews as pivotal ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 semis and final.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by its February 28 UMK triumph blending virtuoso violin with theatrical flamethrower visuals that dominated both jury and public votes, sparking viral buzz and early model projections. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% after "Regarde!"'s recent operatic reveal propelled jury favoritism, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.3% on melodic televote appeal. Australia (7.9%) eyes jury strength potentially via Delta Goodrem, and Greece (6.6%) gains from fan polls amid ethnic diaspora support. With all 35 entries released, trader consensus highlights jury-televote divergences and staging previews as pivotal ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 semis and final.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands 34.8% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, fueled by its February 28 UMK triumph blending virtuoso violin with theatrical flamethrower visuals that dominated both jury and public votes, sparking viral buzz and early model projections. France's Monroe follows at 13.2% after "Regarde!"'s recent operatic reveal propelled jury favoritism, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard holds 10.3% on melodic televote appeal. Australia (7.9%) eyes jury strength potentially via Delta Goodrem, and Greece (6.6%) gains from fan polls amid ethnic diaspora support. With all 35 entries released, trader consensus highlights jury-televote divergences and staging previews as pivotal ahead of Vienna's May 12-16 semis and final.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 35%, followed by "França" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $50 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.