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Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Market icon

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 35.7%

França 13.9%

Dinamarca 10.2%

Austrália 6.5%

Polymarket

$54,725,956 Vol.

Finlândia 35.7%

França 13.9%

Dinamarca 10.2%

Austrália 6.5%

Polymarket

$54,725,956 Vol.

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Finlândia

$1,864,783 Vol.

36%

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França

$1,428,971 Vol.

14%

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Dinamarca

$964,483 Vol.

10%

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Austrália

$1,208,940 Vol.

7%

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Grécia

$1,327,252 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,248,270 Vol.

4%

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Suécia

$952,960 Vol.

4%

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Ucrânia

$1,139,503 Vol.

3%

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Itália

$1,547,184 Vol.

2%

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Romênia

$914,005 Vol.

2%

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Chéquia

$820,265 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,127,907 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,032,889 Vol.

1%

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Bulgária

$1,120,281 Vol.

1%

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Alemanha

$900,199 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,033,898 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,258,019 Vol.

1%

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Croácia

$949,926 Vol.

1%

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Moldávia

$1,201,645 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,306,545 Vol.

1%

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Suíça

$2,309,383 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$717,251 Vol.

1%

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Albânia

$2,146,040 Vol.

<1%

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Áustria

$2,222,513 Vol.

<1%

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Estônia

$2,633,882 Vol.

<1%

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Letônia

$2,194,897 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,419,397 Vol.

<1%

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Armênia

$2,180,551 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijão

$2,558,646 Vol.

<1%

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Geórgia

$2,287,922 Vol.

<1%

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Lituânia

$1,933,844 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,785,367 Vol.

<1%

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Polônia

$1,987,642 Vol.

<1%

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Sérvia

$817,089 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,187,373 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 35.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's high-energy "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national selection with rare balanced jury and televote appeal reminiscent of their 2023 runner-up "Cha Cha Cha." France follows at 14.1% thanks to Monroe's pop-infused internal selection "Look!," generating buzz for its staging potential, while Denmark's 10.2% reflects Søren Torpegaard Lund's recent rise amid strong Nordic televote momentum. Australia (6.5%) and Greece (6.4%) benefit from Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" and established fanbases, but odds remain fluid with national finals ongoing and semi-final rehearsals approaching in May.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$54,725,956
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Finland as the clear frontrunner at 35.8% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's high-energy "Liekinheitin," which dominated Finland's UMK national selection with rare balanced jury and televote appeal reminiscent of their 2023 runner-up "Cha Cha Cha." France follows at 14.1% thanks to Monroe's pop-infused internal selection "Look!," generating buzz for its staging potential, while Denmark's 10.2% reflects Søren Torpegaard Lund's recent rise amid strong Nordic televote momentum. Australia (6.5%) and Greece (6.4%) benefit from Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse" and established fanbases, but odds remain fluid with national finals ongoing and semi-final rehearsals approaching in May.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$54,725,956
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 36%, followed by "França" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $54.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.