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Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Market icon

Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026

Finlândia 36.9%

França 11.5%

Dinamarca 10.5%

Austrália 7.2%

Polymarket

$96,782,989 Vol.

Finlândia 36.9%

França 11.5%

Dinamarca 10.5%

Austrália 7.2%

Polymarket

$96,782,989 Vol.

A Finlândia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Finlândia

$2,620,456 Vol.

37%

A França vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

França

$1,910,896 Vol.

12%

A Dinamarca vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Dinamarca

$1,365,844 Vol.

11%

A Austrália vai ganhar o Eurovision 2026? icon

Austrália

$1,644,306 Vol.

7%

A Grécia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Grécia

$1,880,375 Vol.

6%

Israel vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Israel

$1,726,732 Vol.

6%

A Suécia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Suécia

$1,380,635 Vol.

3%

A Itália vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Itália

$2,190,683 Vol.

3%

A Romênia vencerá a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Romênia

$1,462,144 Vol.

2%

A Ucrânia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Ucrânia

$1,636,908 Vol.

2%

Malta vencerá a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Malta

$1,674,037 Vol.

1%

A Chéquia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Chéquia

$1,205,018 Vol.

1%

A Bulgária vencerá o Eurovision 2026? icon

Bulgária

$1,733,890 Vol.

1%

Chipre vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Chipre

$1,566,477 Vol.

1%

A Moldávia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Moldávia

$1,859,755 Vol.

1%

A Croácia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Croácia

$1,694,466 Vol.

1%

Luxemburgo vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Luxemburgo

$2,118,073 Vol.

1%

A Noruega vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Noruega

$2,819,367 Vol.

1%

A Alemanha vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Alemanha

$1,955,340 Vol.

<1%

A Lituânia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Lituânia

$3,316,060 Vol.

<1%

O Reino Unido vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Reino Unido

$1,981,418 Vol.

<1%

A Albânia vai ganhar o Eurovision 2026? icon

Albânia

$4,409,503 Vol.

<1%

A Áustria vai ganhar o Eurovision 2026? icon

Áustria

$5,196,819 Vol.

<1%

A Bélgica vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Bélgica

$2,524,632 Vol.

<1%

A Armênia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Armênia

$4,087,289 Vol.

<1%

O Azerbaijão vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Azerbaijão

$4,568,235 Vol.

<1%

A Polônia vai vencer o Eurovision 2026? icon

Polônia

$4,027,284 Vol.

<1%

A Sérvia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Sérvia

$2,738,615 Vol.

<1%

A Suíça vai ganhar o Eurovision 2026? icon

Suíça

$3,552,868 Vol.

<1%

A Estônia vencerá a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Estônia

$4,687,033 Vol.

<1%

A Letônia vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Letônia

$3,998,614 Vol.

<1%

Portugal vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Portugal

$3,883,926 Vol.

<1%

San Marino vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

San Marino

$4,466,960 Vol.

<1%

A Geórgia vai vencer a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Geórgia

$4,279,870 Vol.

<1%

Montenegro vai ganhar a Eurovisão 2026? icon

Montenegro

$4,620,334 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen dominate trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 victory with "Liekinheitin," a electrifying violin-pop fusion unveiled via UMK national selection on February 28, blending classical virtuoso flair with catchy hooks that have fueled viral buzz, OGAE fan votes, and frontrunner status since early March. France's Monroe follows at 11.5% implied probability on the vocal powerhouse "Regarde!," released March 6 amid strong jury favoritism signals, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds third despite recent anti-Hamas backlash controversy. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse"), Greece (Akylas' viral "Ferto"), and Israel's Noam Bettan round out the top six, buoyed by streaming traction and precursor hype. With Vienna rehearsals imminent ahead of semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16, jury-televote splits and geopolitical tensions could spark shifts in this crowded field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$96,782,989
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen dominate trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 victory with "Liekinheitin," a electrifying violin-pop fusion unveiled via UMK national selection on February 28, blending classical virtuoso flair with catchy hooks that have fueled viral buzz, OGAE fan votes, and frontrunner status since early March. France's Monroe follows at 11.5% implied probability on the vocal powerhouse "Regarde!," released March 6 amid strong jury favoritism signals, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund holds third despite recent anti-Hamas backlash controversy. Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse"), Greece (Akylas' viral "Ferto"), and Israel's Noam Bettan round out the top six, buoyed by streaming traction and precursor hype. With Vienna rehearsals imminent ahead of semis on May 12/14 and final on May 16, jury-televote splits and geopolitical tensions could spark shifts in this crowded field.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$96,782,989
Data de Término
16 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finlândia" at 37%, followed by "França" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" has generated $96.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" is "Finlândia" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "França" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Eurovisão 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.