Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 115-139 tweets from March 19-21, 2026, reflecting his established rhythm of roughly 38-46 posts daily amid steady cultural commentary on tech, politics, and memes. Recent tracking shows his output stabilizing post-2024 election frenzy, with three-day totals rarely dipping below 115 or spiking past 139 outside viral controversies—bolstered by X's algorithm rewarding consistent engagement without excess. Historical precedents, like subdued weekends in 2025 previews, reinforce this positioning. An upset into 140-164 would require a catalyst like a Tesla launch, SpaceX milestone, or global headline demanding real-time Musk narration, though such volatility has waned as his brand matures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado115-139 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
21 mar 2026
<40
Não
40-64
Não
65-89
Não
90-114
Não
115-139
Sim
140-164
Não
165-189
Não
190-214
Não
215-239
Não
240+
Não
115-139 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
21 mar 2026
<40
$0 Vol.
Não
40-64
$0 Vol.
Não
65-89
$0 Vol.
Não
90-114
$0 Vol.
Não
115-139
$0 Vol.
Sim
140-164
$0 Vol.
Não
165-189
$0 Vol.
Não
190-214
$0 Vol.
Não
215-239
$0 Vol.
Não
240+
$0 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 19 12:00 PM ET to March 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 115-139 tweets from March 19-21, 2026, reflecting his established rhythm of roughly 38-46 posts daily amid steady cultural commentary on tech, politics, and memes. Recent tracking shows his output stabilizing post-2024 election frenzy, with three-day totals rarely dipping below 115 or spiking past 139 outside viral controversies—bolstered by X's algorithm rewarding consistent engagement without excess. Historical precedents, like subdued weekends in 2025 previews, reinforce this positioning. An upset into 140-164 would require a catalyst like a Tesla launch, SpaceX milestone, or global headline demanding real-time Musk narration, though such volatility has waned as his brand matures.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 19 12:00 PM ET to March 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
21 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 19 12:00 PM ET to March 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 115-139 tweets from March 19-21, 2026, reflecting his established rhythm of roughly 38-46 posts daily amid steady cultural commentary on tech, politics, and memes. Recent tracking shows his output stabilizing post-2024 election frenzy, with three-day totals rarely dipping below 115 or spiking past 139 outside viral controversies—bolstered by X's algorithm rewarding consistent engagement without excess. Historical precedents, like subdued weekends in 2025 previews, reinforce this positioning. An upset into 140-164 would require a catalyst like a Tesla launch, SpaceX milestone, or global headline demanding real-time Musk narration, though such volatility has waned as his brand matures.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 19 12:00 PM ET to March 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$0Data de Término
21 mar 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk posting 115-139 tweets from March 19-21, 2026, reflecting his established rhythm of roughly 38-46 posts daily amid steady cultural commentary on tech, politics, and memes. Recent tracking shows his output stabilizing post-2024 election frenzy, with three-day totals rarely dipping below 115 or spiking past 139 outside viral controversies—bolstered by X's algorithm rewarding consistent engagement without excess. Historical precedents, like subdued weekends in 2025 previews, reinforce this positioning. An upset into 140-164 would require a catalyst like a Tesla launch, SpaceX milestone, or global headline demanding real-time Musk narration, though such volatility has waned as his brand matures.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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