Middle East supply disruptions dominate crude oil market dynamics as of early June 2026, with effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day triggering sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2. These factors have lifted WTI futures near $90–96 per barrel amid elevated volatility, embedding a significant risk premium that outweighs baseline supply recovery expectations. EIA data project Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June before moderation as flows resume later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, weekly EIA inventory releases, and any diplomatic progress on de-escalation, which could shift trader positioning on June settlement thresholds. Longer-term balances point to softer demand growth and eventual supply normalization.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$23,314,708 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
4%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $115
12%
↑ $110
20%
↑ $105
35%
↓ $85
54%
↓ $80
32%
↓ $70
5%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
$23,314,708 Vol.
↑ $200
1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
2%
↑ $140
3%
↑ $130
4%
↑ $120
10%
↑ $115
12%
↑ $110
20%
↑ $105
35%
↓ $85
54%
↓ $80
32%
↓ $70
5%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Middle East supply disruptions dominate crude oil market dynamics as of early June 2026, with effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day triggering sharp inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels daily in Q2. These factors have lifted WTI futures near $90–96 per barrel amid elevated volatility, embedding a significant risk premium that outweighs baseline supply recovery expectations. EIA data project Brent averaging around $106 per barrel through June before moderation as flows resume later in the year. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting, weekly EIA inventory releases, and any diplomatic progress on de-escalation, which could shift trader positioning on June settlement thresholds. Longer-term balances point to softer demand growth and eventual supply normalization.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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