Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a tepid outlook for WTI Crude Oil (CL) surging significantly by June's end, with yes-share odds hovering around 25-35% for thresholds like $90 amid current front-month futures trading near $81.50. Primary drivers include ample U.S. inventories—EIA data showed a 1.2MM barrel build last week, countering Middle East tensions—and softening Chinese demand signals, pressuring prices below the 50-day moving average of $82. Key risks: upcoming June 25 EIA report and potential OPEC+ adherence tweaks, though recession fears from persistent Fed tightening cap upside. Market-implied odds embed ~60% chance of sub-$85 settlement, prioritizing inventory dynamics over geopolitics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoO Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
O Petróleo Bruto (CL) atingirá__ até o final de junho?
$2,430,404 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
47%
↑ $105
60%
↑ $100
63%
↓ $85
81%
↓ $80
71%
↓ $70
49%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,430,404 Vol.
↑ $200
13%
↑ $175
14%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $110
47%
↑ $105
60%
↑ $100
63%
↓ $85
81%
↓ $80
71%
↓ $70
49%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
19%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects a tepid outlook for WTI Crude Oil (CL) surging significantly by June's end, with yes-share odds hovering around 25-35% for thresholds like $90 amid current front-month futures trading near $81.50. Primary drivers include ample U.S. inventories—EIA data showed a 1.2MM barrel build last week, countering Middle East tensions—and softening Chinese demand signals, pressuring prices below the 50-day moving average of $82. Key risks: upcoming June 25 EIA report and potential OPEC+ adherence tweaks, though recession fears from persistent Fed tightening cap upside. Market-implied odds embed ~60% chance of sub-$85 settlement, prioritizing inventory dynamics over geopolitics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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