OpenAI's ChatGPT has navigated March 2026 with frequent but contained partial incidents—including elevated conversation errors on March 11, high error rates for ChatGPT Pro users on March 17, and login instability on March 29—yet avoided any full outages, per its status page reporting 99.91% uptime. This resilience, following February's more severe disruptions tied to login and availability issues on Microsoft Azure infrastructure, reflects aggressive scaling efforts amid surging demand for large language model interactions. Trader sentiment leans toward later timelines due to this stability track record, though vulnerabilities persist from rapid feature rollouts and traffic spikes. Monitor status.openai.com closely for classifications of partial or full outages, alongside potential catalysts like new AI capability announcements or competitor benchmarks from Anthropic's Claude.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoInterrupção do ChatGPT por...?
Interrupção do ChatGPT por...?
$26,955 Vol.
6 abr 2026
3 de abril
12%
10 de abril
51%
17 de abril
67%
$26,955 Vol.
3 de abril
$13,731 Vol.
12%
10 de abril
$203 Vol.
51%
17 de abril
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has navigated March 2026 with frequent but contained partial incidents—including elevated conversation errors on March 11, high error rates for ChatGPT Pro users on March 17, and login instability on March 29—yet avoided any full outages, per its status page reporting 99.91% uptime. This resilience, following February's more severe disruptions tied to login and availability issues on Microsoft Azure infrastructure, reflects aggressive scaling efforts amid surging demand for large language model interactions. Trader sentiment leans toward later timelines due to this stability track record, though vulnerabilities persist from rapid feature rollouts and traffic spikes. Monitor status.openai.com closely for classifications of partial or full outages, alongside potential catalysts like new AI capability announcements or competitor benchmarks from Anthropic's Claude.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 30, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Volume
$26,955Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT has navigated March 2026 with frequent but contained partial incidents—including elevated conversation errors on March 11, high error rates for ChatGPT Pro users on March 17, and login instability on March 29—yet avoided any full outages, per its status page reporting 99.91% uptime. This resilience, following February's more severe disruptions tied to login and availability issues on Microsoft Azure infrastructure, reflects aggressive scaling efforts amid surging demand for large language model interactions. Trader sentiment leans toward later timelines due to this stability track record, though vulnerabilities persist from rapid feature rollouts and traffic spikes. Monitor status.openai.com closely for classifications of partial or full outages, alongside potential catalysts like new AI capability announcements or competitor benchmarks from Anthropic's Claude.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,955Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT has navigated March 2026 with frequent but contained partial incidents—including elevated conversation errors on March 11, high error rates for ChatGPT Pro users on March 17, and login instability on March 29—yet avoided any full outages, per its status page reporting 99.91% uptime. This resilience, following February's more severe disruptions tied to login and availability issues on Microsoft Azure infrastructure, reflects aggressive scaling efforts amid surging demand for large language model interactions. Trader sentiment leans toward later timelines due to this stability track record, though vulnerabilities persist from rapid feature rollouts and traffic spikes. Monitor status.openai.com closely for classifications of partial or full outages, alongside potential catalysts like new AI capability announcements or competitor benchmarks from Anthropic's Claude.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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