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Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Market icon

Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette

Doug Mason 8.5%

Matt Carroll 7.7%

Casey Hux 1.0%

Marcus Richardson <1%

Polymarket

$140,371 Vol.

Doug Mason 8.5%

Matt Carroll 7.7%

Casey Hux 1.0%

Marcus Richardson <1%

Polymarket

$140,371 Vol.

Doug Mason

$5,328 Vol.

9%

Matt Carroll

$1,909 Vol.

8%

Casey Hux

$1,809 Vol.

1%

Marcus Richardson

$1,785 Vol.

1%

Richard Van De Water

$2,042 Vol.

1%

Ronn Perez

$1,782 Vol.

1%

Shane Parton

$46,832 Vol.

9%

Rod Strozier

$2,130 Vol.

1%

Michael Baba

$2,079 Vol.

1%

Josh Harward

$1,725 Vol.

1%

Malik Evans

$1,856 Vol.

1%

Aaron Kahng

$1,644 Vol.

1%

Conrad Ukropina

$38,233 Vol.

1%

Brandon Perce

$2,757 Vol.

1%

Christopher Wood

$1,571 Vol.

1%

Kevin Montero

$1,796 Vol.

<1%

Brad Ledford

$1,988 Vol.

<1%

Trenten Merrill

$6,614 Vol.

<1%

Johnnie LaRossa

$7,964 Vol.

<1%

Mike Turitto

$2,193 Vol.

<1%

Lew Evans

$1,684 Vol.

<1%

Clayton Johnson

$4,652 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Clayton Johnson as the clear frontrunner at 40% implied probability for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, propelled by his pre-filming buzz as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé and Nashville singer-songwriter persona that generated strong social media engagement and early fan favoritism. Despite Reality Steve's credible spoilers naming Doug Mason as Taylor Frankie Paul's finale pick—complete with an engagement that dissolved post-filming—Clayton's odds surged amid ABC's March 19 cancellation of the season after a domestic violence video surfaced involving Paul and ex Dakota Mortensen. Doug lingers at 8.5% buoyed by his public support for Paul, while Matt Carroll and Shane Parton (a spoiler final 2) trail closely; the non-airing heightens resolution uncertainty, with traders discounting aired outcomes in favor of contestant momentum and cultural narrative.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$140,371
Data de Término
30 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Clayton Johnson as the clear frontrunner at 40% implied probability for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, propelled by his pre-filming buzz as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé and Nashville singer-songwriter persona that generated strong social media engagement and early fan favoritism. Despite Reality Steve's credible spoilers naming Doug Mason as Taylor Frankie Paul's finale pick—complete with an engagement that dissolved post-filming—Clayton's odds surged amid ABC's March 19 cancellation of the season after a domestic violence video surfaced involving Paul and ex Dakota Mortensen. Doug lingers at 8.5% buoyed by his public support for Paul, while Matt Carroll and Shane Parton (a spoiler final 2) trail closely; the non-airing heightens resolution uncertainty, with traders discounting aired outcomes in favor of contestant momentum and cultural narrative.

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.

The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.

If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Volume
$140,371
Data de Término
30 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Clayton Johnson" at 40%, followed by "Doug Mason" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" has generated $140.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" is "Clayton Johnson" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Doug Mason" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da 22ª Temporada de Bachelorette" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.