Trader consensus slightly favors Iga Świątek at 26% implied probability to win the 2026 Roland Garros women's singles title, her potential fifth on clay where she holds a dominant 34-3 record over the past three years, ahead of Aryna Sabalenka's 24.5% amid the Belarussian's scorching 23-1 start to the season capped by the Sunshine Double—back-to-back Indian Wells and Miami triumphs over Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff. Świątek's recent dip to No. 4 in WTA rankings, early hard-court exits like her Indian Wells quarterfinal loss to Elina Svitolina, and mid-coaching transition to Francisco Roig after splitting with Wim Fissette have narrowed the gap, while Sabalenka's Madrid clay title history adds intrigue to this tight top-two duel entering the clay swing. Gauff's rise to No. 3 and Miami final run underscore the field's depth.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoIga Świątek 26%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Coco Gauff 12%
Elena Rybakina 7.5%
$1,866,861 Vol.
$1,866,861 Vol.
Iga Świątek
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Coco Gauff
12%
Elena Rybakina
8%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Jasmine Paolini
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Belinda Bencic
3%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
Iga Świątek 26%
Aryna Sabalenka 25%
Coco Gauff 12%
Elena Rybakina 7.5%
$1,866,861 Vol.
$1,866,861 Vol.
Iga Świątek
26%
Aryna Sabalenka
25%
Coco Gauff
12%
Elena Rybakina
8%
Mirra Andreeva
5%
Jasmine Paolini
4%
Victoria Mboko
3%
Belinda Bencic
3%
Amanda Anisimova
3%
Elina Svitolina
2%
Qinwen Zheng
2%
Karolína Muchová
2%
Jessica Pegula
2%
Madison Keys
1%
Alexandra Eala
1%
Clara Tauson
1%
Linda Nosková
1%
Naomi Osaka
1%
Emma Navarro
<1%
Bianca Andreescu
<1%
Loïs Boisson
<1%
Marta Kostyuk
<1%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
<1%
Emma Raducanu
<1%
Donna Vekić
<1%
Jelena Ostapenko
<1%
Maria Sakkari
<1%
Sofia Kenin
<1%
Anna Kalinskaya
<1%
Maya Joint
<1%
Daria Kasatkina
<1%
Ons Jabeur
<1%
Diana Shnaider
<1%
Barbora Krejčíková
<1%
Anastasia Potapova
<1%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
<1%
Victoria Azarenka
<1%
Veronika Kudermetova
<1%
Liudmila Samsonova
<1%
Karolína Plíšková
<1%
Markéta Vondroušová
<1%
Leylah Fernandez
<1%
Yulia Putintseva
<1%
Dayana Yastremska
<1%
Katie Boulter
<1%
Paula Badosa
<1%
Danielle Collins
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors Iga Świątek at 26% implied probability to win the 2026 Roland Garros women's singles title, her potential fifth on clay where she holds a dominant 34-3 record over the past three years, ahead of Aryna Sabalenka's 24.5% amid the Belarussian's scorching 23-1 start to the season capped by the Sunshine Double—back-to-back Indian Wells and Miami triumphs over Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff. Świątek's recent dip to No. 4 in WTA rankings, early hard-court exits like her Indian Wells quarterfinal loss to Elina Svitolina, and mid-coaching transition to Francisco Roig after splitting with Wim Fissette have narrowed the gap, while Sabalenka's Madrid clay title history adds intrigue to this tight top-two duel entering the clay swing. Gauff's rise to No. 3 and Miami final run underscore the field's depth.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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