Jannik Sinner's commanding Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 victory over Carlos Alcaraz in the final last weekend—his first clay-court crown at this level—has edged him to a 41.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for Roland Garros, narrowly ahead of Alcaraz at 37%. The pair's straight-sets thriller underscores their supremacy on clay, with Sinner reclaiming World No. 1 and extending his head-to-head edge, while Alcaraz's deep run as defending champion reaffirms his two-time French Open title pedigree and surface affinity. Alexander Zverev's semifinal finish trails at 3.9%, buoyed by strong clay form, but Novak Djokovic's lingering shoulder injury—prompting skips of Miami and Monte Carlo—caps him at 2.4%. Madrid and Rome loom as pivotal tests in this tight generational duel.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJannik Sinner 42%
Carlos Alcaraz 37%
Alexander Zverev 3.9%
Novak Djokovic 2.4%
$10,444,696 Vol.
$10,444,696 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
42%
Carlos Alcaraz
37%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Novak Djokovic
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Casper Ruud
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Jakub Mensik
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Jannik Sinner 42%
Carlos Alcaraz 37%
Alexander Zverev 3.9%
Novak Djokovic 2.4%
$10,444,696 Vol.
$10,444,696 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
42%
Carlos Alcaraz
37%
Alexander Zverev
4%
Novak Djokovic
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alex De Minaur
1%
Tommy Paul
1%
Casper Ruud
1%
Francisco Cerundolo
1%
Learner Tien
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
<1%
Jiri Lehecka
<1%
Denis Shapovalov
<1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Alejandro Tabilo
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Jakub Mensik
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomas Machac
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Marin Cilic
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Jan-Lennard Struff
<1%
Ugo Humbert
<1%
Reilly Opelka
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's commanding Monte-Carlo Masters 1000 victory over Carlos Alcaraz in the final last weekend—his first clay-court crown at this level—has edged him to a 41.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite for Roland Garros, narrowly ahead of Alcaraz at 37%. The pair's straight-sets thriller underscores their supremacy on clay, with Sinner reclaiming World No. 1 and extending his head-to-head edge, while Alcaraz's deep run as defending champion reaffirms his two-time French Open title pedigree and surface affinity. Alexander Zverev's semifinal finish trails at 3.9%, buoyed by strong clay form, but Novak Djokovic's lingering shoulder injury—prompting skips of Miami and Monte Carlo—caps him at 2.4%. Madrid and Rome loom as pivotal tests in this tight generational duel.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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