crop?

Joined Apr 2023·0 views

$932.37

Positions Value

$457.90

Biggest Win

338

Predictions

Total PnL: -$976.24
Total Volume: 139.9K

Profit/Loss

-$100.31

Past Day

Market

Avg

Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?

Yes 32.7¢

782.9 shares

32.7¢

41.5¢

$324.89$68.69 (26.81%)

Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?

Yes 32.7¢

782.9 shares

$324.89$68.69 (26.81%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 9.3¢

1,173.6 shares

9.3¢

9.5¢

$111.49$2.61 (2.39%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 9.3¢

1,173.6 shares

$111.49$2.61 (2.39%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25.9¢

548.8 shares

25.9¢

19.5¢

$107.02-$35.18 (-24.74%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25.9¢

548.8 shares

$107.02-$35.18 (-24.74%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

No 34.2¢

234.0 shares

34.2¢

34.5¢

$80.73$0.67 (0.84%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

No 34.2¢

234.0 shares

$80.73$0.67 (0.84%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 52.2¢

191.5 shares

52.2¢

39.8¢

$76.13-$23.87 (-23.87%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 52.2¢

191.5 shares

$76.13-$23.87 (-23.87%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?

No 25¢

194.0 shares

25¢

18.5¢

$35.89-$12.61 (-26%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?

No 25¢

194.0 shares

$35.89-$12.61 (-26%)

Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes 9.2¢

252.0 shares

9.2¢

13¢

$32.76$9.48 (40.72%)

Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes 9.2¢

252.0 shares

$32.76$9.48 (40.72%)

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 24.3¢

156.4 shares

24.3¢

18.5¢

$28.94-$9.07 (-23.87%)

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 24.3¢

156.4 shares

$28.94-$9.07 (-23.87%)

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Yes 33.1¢

105.5 shares

33.1¢

21¢

$22.15-$12.79 (-36.6%)

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Yes 33.1¢

105.5 shares

$22.15-$12.79 (-36.6%)

Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22¢

70.0 shares

22¢

24¢

$16.80$1.40 (9.09%)

Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22¢

70.0 shares

$16.80$1.40 (9.09%)

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

789.5 shares

1.9¢

1.8¢

$14.61-$0.39 (-2.62%)

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

789.5 shares

$14.61-$0.39 (-2.62%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 16.7¢

125.0 shares

16.7¢

11.5¢

$14.38-$6.52 (-31.22%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 16.7¢

125.0 shares

$14.38-$6.52 (-31.22%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 6¢

200.0 shares

6¢

5.6¢

$11.20-$0.80 (-6.67%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 6¢

200.0 shares

$11.20-$0.80 (-6.67%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 40.3¢

133.2 shares

40.3¢

8.2¢

$10.92-$42.69 (-79.63%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 40.3¢

133.2 shares

$10.92-$42.69 (-79.63%)

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 0.8¢

2,158.8 shares

0.8¢

0.5¢

$10.79-$6.48 (-37.5%)

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 0.8¢

2,158.8 shares

$10.79-$6.48 (-37.5%)

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

456.1 shares

11¢

2.1¢

$9.35-$40.65 (-81.3%)

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

456.1 shares

$9.35-$40.65 (-81.3%)

Will NTE: Neverness to Everness win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

Yes 12.8¢

93.9 shares

12.8¢

6.5¢

$6.11-$5.89 (-49.12%)

Will NTE: Neverness to Everness win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?

Yes 12.8¢

93.9 shares

$6.11-$5.89 (-49.12%)

Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes 3.3¢

99.0 shares

3.3¢

5.9¢

$5.89$2.62 (80.3%)

Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes 3.3¢

99.0 shares

$5.89$2.62 (80.3%)

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 2¢

330.8 shares

2¢

0.8¢

$2.48-$4.04 (-61.98%)

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 2¢

330.8 shares

$2.48-$4.04 (-61.98%)

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

435.5 shares

1.9¢

0.5¢

$2.40-$5.82 (-70.83%)

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 1.9¢

435.5 shares

$2.40-$5.82 (-70.83%)