DerApfelIstDerApfel
$0.00
Positions Value
$24.62
Biggest Win
46
Predictions
Profit/Loss
Past Day
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
17.3¢
0¢
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
18¢
0¢
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House Press Briefing?
31¢
0¢
Will Leavitt say "China" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Will Leavitt say "Baby" during the next White House Press Briefing?
37¢
0¢
Will Leavitt say "Baby" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
10¢
0¢
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
31¢
0¢
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
52.1¢
0¢
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
0.9¢
0¢
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
38.9¢
0¢
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?