lava-lava

Joined Nov 2022·26.7K views

$170.9K

Positions Value

$118.6K

Biggest Win

1,711

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1.4M
Total Volume: 43.9M

Profit/Loss

-$923.31

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 39.4¢

47,779.8 shares

39.4¢

100¢

$47,779.83$28,961.99 (153.91%)

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Yes 39.4¢

47,779.8 shares

$47,779.83$28,961.99 (153.91%)

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?

Yes 58.7¢

10,145.3 shares

58.7¢

100¢

$10,145.30$4,194.32 (70.48%)

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?

Yes 58.7¢

10,145.3 shares

$10,145.30$4,194.32 (70.48%)

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Yes 24¢

9,999.9 shares

24¢

98.5¢

$9,844.91$7,444.93 (310.21%)

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Yes 24¢

9,999.9 shares

$9,844.91$7,444.93 (310.21%)

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No 70.1¢

8,473.6 shares

70.1¢

98.8¢

$8,367.65$2,427.29 (40.86%)

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

No 70.1¢

8,473.6 shares

$8,367.65$2,427.29 (40.86%)

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Yes 36.9¢

7,359.7 shares

36.9¢

99.3¢

$7,308.15$4,589.93 (168.86%)

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Yes 36.9¢

7,359.7 shares

$7,308.15$4,589.93 (168.86%)

Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

No 62.9¢

6,021.6 shares

62.9¢

100¢

$6,021.60$2,234.75 (59.01%)

Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

No 62.9¢

6,021.6 shares

$6,021.60$2,234.75 (59.01%)

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Yes 50.1¢

5,825.7 shares

50.1¢

100¢

$5,825.75$2,904.91 (99.45%)

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Yes 50.1¢

5,825.7 shares

$5,825.75$2,904.91 (99.45%)

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 82¢

5,000.0 shares

82¢

100¢

$5,000.00$900.00 (21.95%)

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 82¢

5,000.0 shares

$5,000.00$900.00 (21.95%)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 72¢

4,510.9 shares

72¢

98.7¢

$4,452.22$1,206.41 (37.17%)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 72¢

4,510.9 shares

$4,452.22$1,206.41 (37.17%)

Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?

No 35.2¢

4,692.4 shares

35.2¢

87.9¢

$4,124.66$2,473.34 (149.78%)

Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?

No 35.2¢

4,692.4 shares

$4,124.66$2,473.34 (149.78%)

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

No 82¢

4,000.0 shares

82¢

100¢

$4,000.00$720.00 (21.95%)

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

No 82¢

4,000.0 shares

$4,000.00$720.00 (21.95%)

Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

No 44.6¢

3,884.7 shares

44.6¢

99.7¢

$3,871.15$2,137.84 (123.34%)

Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

No 44.6¢

3,884.7 shares

$3,871.15$2,137.84 (123.34%)

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.2¢

62,500.0 shares

2.2¢

5.9¢

$3,656.25$2,308.06 (171.2%)

Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 2.2¢

62,500.0 shares

$3,656.25$2,308.06 (171.2%)

Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?

No 56.5¢

3,075.4 shares

56.5¢

100¢

$3,075.40$1,338.97 (77.11%)

Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?

No 56.5¢

3,075.4 shares

$3,075.40$1,338.97 (77.11%)

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?

Yes 30.7¢

3,333.0 shares

30.7¢

87.5¢

$2,916.38$1,893.14 (185.02%)

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?

Yes 30.7¢

3,333.0 shares

$2,916.38$1,893.14 (185.02%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?

Yes 22.4¢

2,808.8 shares

22.4¢

97.1¢

$2,725.91$2,097.68 (333.9%)

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?

Yes 22.4¢

2,808.8 shares

$2,725.91$2,097.68 (333.9%)

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

Yes 27.2¢

2,674.1 shares

27.2¢

100¢

$2,674.12$1,945.53 (267.03%)

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

Yes 27.2¢

2,674.1 shares

$2,674.12$1,945.53 (267.03%)

Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?

Yes 86.6¢

2,566.7 shares

86.6¢

98.4¢

$2,524.33$300.52 (13.51%)

Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?

Yes 86.6¢

2,566.7 shares

$2,524.33$300.52 (13.51%)

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?

Yes 37.4¢

2,310.9 shares

37.4¢

99.1¢

$2,290.11$1,424.71 (164.63%)

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?

Yes 37.4¢

2,310.9 shares

$2,290.11$1,424.71 (164.63%)

Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?

No 36.2¢

2,167.3 shares

36.2¢

99.7¢

$2,160.78$1,375.80 (175.27%)

Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?

No 36.2¢

2,167.3 shares

$2,160.78$1,375.80 (175.27%)