0xfb24c263325b6C3C09339b26E932Ba0481a0bBeA-1773654965779

Joined Mar 2026·33 views

$94.27

Positions Value

$4.01

Biggest Win

116

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$12.77
Total Volume: 713.1

Profit/Loss

$0.30

Past Day

Market

Avg

Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 82¢

12.2 shares

82¢

85.5¢

$10.43$0.43 (4.27%)

Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 82¢

12.2 shares

$10.43$0.43 (4.27%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 86¢

11.6 shares

86¢

89.5¢

$10.41$0.41 (4.07%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?

Yes 86¢

11.6 shares

$10.41$0.41 (4.07%)

Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 88¢

11.4 shares

88¢

88.5¢

$10.06$0.06 (0.57%)

Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?

Yes 88¢

11.4 shares

$10.06$0.06 (0.57%)

Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?

No 91¢

5.5 shares

91¢

95.6¢

$5.25$0.25 (5.05%)

Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?

No 91¢

5.5 shares

$5.25$0.25 (5.05%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 95.1¢

5.3 shares

95.1¢

97.2¢

$5.11$0.11 (2.15%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 95.1¢

5.3 shares

$5.11$0.11 (2.15%)

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Yes 59.4¢

8.4 shares

59.4¢

56¢

$4.71-$0.29 (-5.78%)

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Yes 59.4¢

8.4 shares

$4.71-$0.29 (-5.78%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 51¢

5.9 shares

51¢

79.7¢

$4.69$1.69 (56.27%)

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 51¢

5.9 shares

$4.69$1.69 (56.27%)

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 79¢

6.3 shares

79¢

68¢

$4.30-$0.70 (-13.92%)

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 79¢

6.3 shares

$4.30-$0.70 (-13.92%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 29¢

6.9 shares

29¢

58.5¢

$4.03$2.03 (101.72%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 29¢

6.9 shares

$4.03$2.03 (101.72%)

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 56¢

8.9 shares

56¢

43.5¢

$3.88-$1.12 (-22.32%)

Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 56¢

8.9 shares

$3.88-$1.12 (-22.32%)

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 78¢

6.4 shares

78¢

60.5¢

$3.88-$1.12 (-22.43%)

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 78¢

6.4 shares

$3.88-$1.12 (-22.43%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 52¢

9.6 shares

52¢

38.5¢

$3.70-$1.30 (-25.96%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 52¢

9.6 shares

$3.70-$1.30 (-25.96%)

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 16¢

6.3 shares

16¢

45.5¢

$2.84$1.84 (184.37%)

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 16¢

6.3 shares

$2.84$1.84 (184.37%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 85¢

3.5 shares

85¢

80.5¢

$2.84-$0.16 (-5.29%)

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 85¢

3.5 shares

$2.84-$0.16 (-5.29%)

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

No 85¢

3.5 shares

85¢

76.5¢

$2.70-$0.30 (-10%)

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

No 85¢

3.5 shares

$2.70-$0.30 (-10%)

Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Yes 89¢

3.4 shares

89¢

76.5¢

$2.58-$0.42 (-14.04%)

Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Yes 89¢

3.4 shares

$2.58-$0.42 (-14.04%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 79.5¢

2.5 shares

79.5¢

96.7¢

$2.43$0.43 (21.64%)

Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?

Yes 79.5¢

2.5 shares

$2.43$0.43 (21.64%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 74¢

2.7 shares

74¢

90¢

$2.43$0.43 (21.62%)

Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?

Yes 74¢

2.7 shares

$2.43$0.43 (21.62%)

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Yes 85¢

3.5 shares

85¢

66.5¢

$2.35-$0.65 (-21.76%)

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Yes 85¢

3.5 shares

$2.35-$0.65 (-21.76%)

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?

Yes 46¢

2.2 shares

46¢

87¢

$1.89$0.89 (89.13%)

Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?

Yes 46¢

2.2 shares

$1.89$0.89 (89.13%)