effortravioli

Joined Jul 2025·6.2K views

$173.43

Positions Value

$151.88

Biggest Win

5,646

Markets Traded

Total PnL: -$1,335.15
Total Volume: 121.2K

Profit/Loss

-$12.26

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 12?

Yes 33.8¢

30.0 shares

33.8¢

100¢

$29.99$19.84 (195.66%)

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 12?

Yes 33.8¢

30.0 shares

$29.99$19.84 (195.66%)

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on November 12?

Yes 48.1¢

21.5 shares

48.1¢

99.5¢

$21.39$11.05 (106.89%)

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on November 12?

Yes 48.1¢

21.5 shares

$21.39$11.05 (106.89%)

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 12?

Yes 60¢

17.0 shares

60¢

100¢

$16.99$6.79 (66.58%)

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 12?

Yes 60¢

17.0 shares

$16.99$6.79 (66.58%)

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 13?

Yes 53¢

29.0 shares

53¢

50¢

$14.50-$0.87 (-5.66%)

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 13?

Yes 53¢

29.0 shares

$14.50-$0.87 (-5.66%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on November 13?

Yes 59.2¢

17.0 shares

59.2¢

62.9¢

$10.69$0.63 (6.25%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on November 13?

Yes 59.2¢

17.0 shares

$10.69$0.63 (6.25%)

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 13?

Yes 39¢

13.0 shares

39¢

75¢

$9.75$4.68 (92.31%)

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on November 13?

Yes 39¢

13.0 shares

$9.75$4.68 (92.31%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 15¢

100.0 shares

15¢

8.5¢

$8.50-$6.50 (-43.33%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 15¢

100.0 shares

$8.50-$6.50 (-43.33%)

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 13?

Yes 35.3¢

42.0 shares

35.3¢

20¢

$8.40-$6.44 (-43.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on November 13?

Yes 35.3¢

42.0 shares

$8.40-$6.44 (-43.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 13?

Yes 18.8¢

27.0 shares

18.8¢

28.5¢

$7.70$2.62 (51.48%)

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 13?

Yes 18.8¢

27.0 shares

$7.70$2.62 (51.48%)

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 13?

Yes 37¢

26.0 shares

37¢

29.5¢

$7.67-$1.95 (-20.27%)

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on November 13?

Yes 37¢

26.0 shares

$7.67-$1.95 (-20.27%)

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 13?

Yes 40¢

22.0 shares

40¢

32.5¢

$7.16-$1.65 (-18.75%)

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 13?

Yes 40¢

22.0 shares

$7.16-$1.65 (-18.75%)

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?

No 75¢

6.0 shares

75¢

89.5¢

$5.37$0.87 (19.33%)

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?

No 75¢

6.0 shares

$5.37$0.87 (19.33%)

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 13?

Yes 47¢

11.0 shares

47¢

45.5¢

$5.01-$0.16 (-3.19%)

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 13?

Yes 47¢

11.0 shares

$5.01-$0.16 (-3.19%)

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 13?

Yes 25¢

19.0 shares

25¢

25.5¢

$4.85$0.10 (2%)

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on November 13?

Yes 25¢

19.0 shares

$4.85$0.10 (2%)

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9¢

55.0 shares

9¢

7.5¢

$4.13-$0.83 (-16.67%)

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9¢

55.0 shares

$4.13-$0.83 (-16.67%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13¢

38.0 shares

13¢

10.5¢

$3.99-$0.95 (-19.23%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 13¢

38.0 shares

$3.99-$0.95 (-19.23%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6¢

83.0 shares

6¢

3.4¢

$2.78-$2.20 (-44.17%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6¢

83.0 shares

$2.78-$2.20 (-44.17%)

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4¢

63.0 shares

4¢

3.3¢

$2.05-$0.47 (-18.75%)

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 4¢

63.0 shares

$2.05-$0.47 (-18.75%)

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

45.0 shares

11¢

3.3¢

$1.49-$3.47 (-70%)

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

45.0 shares

$1.49-$3.47 (-70%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Yes 73.9¢

1.0 shares

73.9¢

100¢

$0.99$0.26 (35.34%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Yes 73.9¢

1.0 shares

$0.99$0.26 (35.34%)