groth

Joined Apr 2025·5.2K views

$117.1K

Positions Value

$19.2K

Biggest Win

609

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$170.7K
Total Volume: 3.1M

Profit/Loss

$2,618.30

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

82.8¢

90.5¢

$28,038.39$2,396.21 (9.34%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

$28,038.39$2,396.21 (9.34%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

29,003.2 shares

82.1¢

94.5¢

$27,408.03$3,599.47 (15.12%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

29,003.2 shares

$27,408.03$3,599.47 (15.12%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

14,130.1 shares

36.2¢

61.5¢

$8,690.02$3,574.21 (69.87%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

14,130.1 shares

$8,690.02$3,574.21 (69.87%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 96.1¢

6,087.6 shares

96.1¢

99.7¢

$6,066.29$218.10 (3.73%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 96.1¢

6,087.6 shares

$6,066.29$218.10 (3.73%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

86.7¢

97.2¢

$4,371.74$471.76 (12.1%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,371.74$471.76 (12.1%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?

Yes 62¢

5,088.4 shares

62¢

68¢

$3,460.13$305.31 (9.68%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?

Yes 62¢

5,088.4 shares

$3,460.13$305.31 (9.68%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

15.6¢

87.5¢

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

17.3¢

51¢

$2,495.40$1,647.37 (194.26%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

$2,495.40$1,647.37 (194.26%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

54.4¢

58¢

$2,411.91$151.09 (6.68%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

$2,411.91$151.09 (6.68%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

23.2¢

50.5¢

$2,384.11$1,288.60 (117.63%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

$2,384.11$1,288.60 (117.63%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

30.7¢

29.5¢

$2,212.08-$90.12 (-3.91%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

$2,212.08-$90.12 (-3.91%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

72.8¢

70¢

$2,100.00-$85.00 (-3.89%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,100.00-$85.00 (-3.89%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,085.2 shares

88.7¢

98.2¢

$2,047.67$198.37 (10.73%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,085.2 shares

$2,047.67$198.37 (10.73%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?

Yes 99.2¢

2,000.0 shares

99.2¢

99.9¢

$1,996.99$13.00 (0.66%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?

Yes 99.2¢

2,000.0 shares

$1,996.99$13.00 (0.66%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

82.7¢

85.5¢

$1,666.17$54.80 (3.4%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

$1,666.17$54.80 (3.4%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

82¢

84.5¢

$1,474.94$43.64 (3.05%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

$1,474.94$43.64 (3.05%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.7¢

3,241.5 shares

37.7¢

42.4¢

$1,372.77$151.23 (12.38%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.7¢

3,241.5 shares

$1,372.77$151.23 (12.38%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

20.6¢

32.5¢

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

No 70¢

1,784.7 shares

70¢

71.5¢

$1,276.09$26.77 (2.14%)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

No 70¢

1,784.7 shares

$1,276.09$26.77 (2.14%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Yes 17¢

5,024.0 shares

17¢

22¢

$1,105.27$251.20 (29.41%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Yes 17¢

5,024.0 shares

$1,105.27$251.20 (29.41%)