groth

Joined Apr 2025·5.2K views

$116.4K

Positions Value

$19.2K

Biggest Win

609

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$169.7K
Total Volume: 3.1M

Profit/Loss

$1,533.09

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

32,003.2 shares

82.1¢

93.5¢

$29,923.00$3,651.76 (13.9%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

32,003.2 shares

$29,923.00$3,651.76 (13.9%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

82.8¢

88.5¢

$27,418.75$1,776.58 (6.93%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

$27,418.75$1,776.58 (6.93%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

14,130.1 shares

36.2¢

61.5¢

$8,690.02$3,574.21 (69.87%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

14,130.1 shares

$8,690.02$3,574.21 (69.87%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 96.1¢

6,087.6 shares

96.1¢

99.8¢

$6,075.42$227.23 (3.89%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 96.1¢

6,087.6 shares

$6,075.42$227.23 (3.89%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

86.7¢

97.2¢

$4,371.74$471.76 (12.1%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,371.74$471.76 (12.1%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?

Yes 62¢

5,088.4 shares

62¢

70¢

$3,561.90$407.07 (12.9%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?

Yes 62¢

5,088.4 shares

$3,561.90$407.07 (12.9%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

15.6¢

87.5¢

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

23.2¢

53.5¢

$2,525.74$1,430.23 (130.55%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

$2,525.74$1,430.23 (130.55%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

17.3¢

49¢

$2,397.54$1,549.51 (182.72%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

$2,397.54$1,549.51 (182.72%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

54.4¢

55.5¢

$2,307.95$47.13 (2.08%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

$2,307.95$47.13 (2.08%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,344.1 shares

88.7¢

98.3¢

$2,303.10$224.17 (10.78%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,344.1 shares

$2,303.10$224.17 (10.78%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

30.7¢

29.5¢

$2,212.08-$90.12 (-3.91%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

$2,212.08-$90.12 (-3.91%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

72.8¢

72.5¢

$2,175.00-$10.00 (-0.46%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,175.00-$10.00 (-0.46%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?

Yes 97¢

2,000.0 shares

97¢

100¢

$2,000.00$60.00 (3.09%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?

Yes 97¢

2,000.0 shares

$2,000.00$60.00 (3.09%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?

Yes 99.2¢

2,000.0 shares

99.2¢

99.8¢

$1,995.99$12.00 (0.6%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?

Yes 99.2¢

2,000.0 shares

$1,995.99$12.00 (0.6%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

82.7¢

84.5¢

$1,646.68$35.31 (2.19%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

$1,646.68$35.31 (2.19%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

82¢

85.5¢

$1,492.39$61.09 (4.27%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

$1,492.39$61.09 (4.27%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

20.6¢

32.5¢

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

71.8¢

96.3¢

$1,062.55$269.87 (34.05%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

$1,062.55$269.87 (34.05%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢

1,017.5 shares

47.2¢

89¢

$905.56$424.97 (88.43%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢

1,017.5 shares

$905.56$424.97 (88.43%)