groth

Joined Apr 2025·5.2K views

$113.7K

Positions Value

$19.2K

Biggest Win

609

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$173.7K
Total Volume: 3.2M

Profit/Loss

$3,604.85

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

82.8¢

91.5¢

$28,348.20$2,706.03 (10.55%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

$28,348.20$2,706.03 (10.55%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

29,003.2 shares

82.1¢

94.5¢

$27,408.03$3,599.47 (15.12%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

29,003.2 shares

$27,408.03$3,599.47 (15.12%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 97.7¢

11,087.6 shares

97.7¢

99.8¢

$11,065.42$237.24 (2.19%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 97.7¢

11,087.6 shares

$11,065.42$237.24 (2.19%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

86.7¢

97.2¢

$4,373.99$474.01 (12.15%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,373.99$474.01 (12.15%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

5,326.5 shares

36.2¢

68.5¢

$3,648.63$1,720.18 (89.2%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

5,326.5 shares

$3,648.63$1,720.18 (89.2%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

17.3¢

58.5¢

$2,862.37$2,014.34 (237.53%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

$2,862.37$2,014.34 (237.53%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

15.6¢

87.5¢

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

72.8¢

83.5¢

$2,505.00$320.00 (14.65%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,505.00$320.00 (14.65%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

23.2¢

53¢

$2,502.13$1,406.63 (128.4%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

$2,502.13$1,406.63 (128.4%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

30.7¢

31¢

$2,324.56$22.36 (0.97%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

$2,324.56$22.36 (0.97%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

54.4¢

51¢

$2,120.82-$140.00 (-6.19%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

$2,120.82-$140.00 (-6.19%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,085.2 shares

88.7¢

98.2¢

$2,046.63$197.33 (10.67%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,085.2 shares

$2,046.63$197.33 (10.67%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

82.7¢

90.5¢

$1,763.61$152.24 (9.45%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

$1,763.61$152.24 (9.45%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

82¢

89.5¢

$1,562.21$130.91 (9.15%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

$1,562.21$130.91 (9.15%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.9¢

3,741.0 shares

37.9¢

38.7¢

$1,445.89$29.55 (2.09%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.9¢

3,741.0 shares

$1,445.89$29.55 (2.09%)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

No 70¢

1,784.7 shares

70¢

76¢

$1,356.40$107.08 (8.57%)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

No 70¢

1,784.7 shares

$1,356.40$107.08 (8.57%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

20.6¢

32.5¢

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

71.8¢

97.1¢

$1,071.93$279.25 (35.23%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

$1,071.93$279.25 (35.23%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?

Yes 3.9¢

25,122.3 shares

3.9¢

4.1¢

$1,017.45$38.01 (3.88%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?

Yes 3.9¢

25,122.3 shares

$1,017.45$38.01 (3.88%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

No 33.1¢

1,100.0 shares

33.1¢

83.5¢

$918.49$554.50 (152.34%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

No 33.1¢

1,100.0 shares

$918.49$554.50 (152.34%)