groth

Joined Apr 2025·5.2K views

$119.4K

Positions Value

$19.2K

Biggest Win

609

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$172.0K
Total Volume: 3.1M

Profit/Loss

$2,708.74

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

82.8¢

91.5¢

$28,348.20$2,706.03 (10.55%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

$28,348.20$2,706.03 (10.55%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

29,003.2 shares

82.1¢

95¢

$27,553.05$3,744.49 (15.73%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

29,003.2 shares

$27,553.05$3,744.49 (15.73%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

14,130.1 shares

36.2¢

66.5¢

$9,396.52$4,280.72 (83.68%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

14,130.1 shares

$9,396.52$4,280.72 (83.68%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 96.1¢

6,087.6 shares

96.1¢

99.7¢

$6,069.33$221.14 (3.78%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 96.1¢

6,087.6 shares

$6,069.33$221.14 (3.78%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

86.7¢

97.2¢

$4,373.99$474.01 (12.15%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,373.99$474.01 (12.15%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?

Yes 62¢

5,088.4 shares

62¢

73.5¢

$3,740.00$585.17 (18.55%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?

Yes 62¢

5,088.4 shares

$3,740.00$585.17 (18.55%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

15.6¢

87.5¢

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

72.8¢

81¢

$2,430.00$245.00 (11.21%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,430.00$245.00 (11.21%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

23.2¢

50.5¢

$2,384.11$1,288.60 (117.63%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

$2,384.11$1,288.60 (117.63%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

30.7¢

29.5¢

$2,212.08-$90.12 (-3.91%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

$2,212.08-$90.12 (-3.91%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

54.4¢

52¢

$2,162.40-$98.42 (-4.35%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

$2,162.40-$98.42 (-4.35%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

17.3¢

44¢

$2,152.89$1,304.86 (153.87%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

$2,152.89$1,304.86 (153.87%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,085.2 shares

88.7¢

98.2¢

$2,046.63$197.33 (10.67%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,085.2 shares

$2,046.63$197.33 (10.67%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?

Yes 99.2¢

2,000.0 shares

99.2¢

100¢

$1,999.99$16.00 (0.81%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?

Yes 99.2¢

2,000.0 shares

$1,999.99$16.00 (0.81%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

82.7¢

90.5¢

$1,763.61$152.24 (9.45%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

$1,763.61$152.24 (9.45%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

82¢

90.5¢

$1,579.67$148.37 (10.37%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

$1,579.67$148.37 (10.37%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.9¢

3,741.0 shares

37.9¢

38¢

$1,419.70$3.37 (0.24%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.9¢

3,741.0 shares

$1,419.70$3.37 (0.24%)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

No 70¢

1,784.7 shares

70¢

78.5¢

$1,401.02$151.70 (12.14%)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

No 70¢

1,784.7 shares

$1,401.02$151.70 (12.14%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

20.6¢

32.5¢

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

$1,301.23$476.75 (57.82%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

71.8¢

96.6¢

$1,065.86$273.18 (34.46%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

$1,065.86$273.18 (34.46%)