groth

Joined Apr 2025·4.8K views

$98.0K

Positions Value

$19.2K

Biggest Win

551

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$147.1K
Total Volume: 2.7M

Profit/Loss

-$262.95

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 83.5¢

26,700.0 shares

83.5¢

82.5¢

$22,027.51-$255.20 (-1.15%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 83.5¢

26,700.0 shares

$22,027.51-$255.20 (-1.15%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

No 89¢

20,104.3 shares

89¢

100¢

$20,104.34$2,203.09 (12.31%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

No 89¢

20,104.3 shares

$20,104.34$2,203.09 (12.31%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 79.6¢

17,558.5 shares

79.6¢

89.5¢

$15,714.87$1,737.96 (12.43%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 79.6¢

17,558.5 shares

$15,714.87$1,737.96 (12.43%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

10,204.5 shares

88.7¢

97.5¢

$9,949.41$899.34 (9.94%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

10,204.5 shares

$9,949.41$899.34 (9.94%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

86.7¢

97.4¢

$4,382.99$483.01 (12.38%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,382.99$483.01 (12.38%)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Yes 88.3¢

3,000.0 shares

88.3¢

88.8¢

$2,662.50$12.50 (0.47%)

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Yes 88.3¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,662.50$12.50 (0.47%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

23.2¢

45.5¢

$2,148.06$1,052.55 (96.08%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

$2,148.06$1,052.55 (96.08%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

15.6¢

66.5¢

$2,085.73$1,597.18 (326.92%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

$2,085.73$1,597.18 (326.92%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

20.6¢

33.5¢

$1,341.26$516.79 (62.68%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

$1,341.26$516.79 (62.68%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

71.8¢

97.3¢

$1,074.14$281.46 (35.51%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

$1,074.14$281.46 (35.51%)

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

No 77¢

1,000.0 shares

77¢

100¢

$1,000.00$230.00 (29.87%)

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

No 77¢

1,000.0 shares

$1,000.00$230.00 (29.87%)

Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 92.8¢

1,000.0 shares

92.8¢

98.3¢

$982.50$54.50 (5.87%)

Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 92.8¢

1,000.0 shares

$982.50$54.50 (5.87%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 65.3¢

1,191.2 shares

65.3¢

73.5¢

$875.52$97.61 (12.55%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 65.3¢

1,191.2 shares

$875.52$97.61 (12.55%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢

1,017.5 shares

47.2¢

80.5¢

$819.07$338.48 (70.43%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢

1,017.5 shares

$819.07$338.48 (70.43%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 21.1¢

2,693.2 shares

21.1¢

29.5¢

$794.49$226.90 (39.98%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 21.1¢

2,693.2 shares

$794.49$226.90 (39.98%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Yes 54.5¢

5,479.7 shares

54.5¢

14¢

$767.16-$2,221.51 (-74.33%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Yes 54.5¢

5,479.7 shares

$767.16-$2,221.51 (-74.33%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69.1¢

1,672.7 shares

69.1¢

44.3¢

$740.16-$415.90 (-35.98%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69.1¢

1,672.7 shares

$740.16-$415.90 (-35.98%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 77¢

753.3 shares

77¢

92.5¢

$696.78$116.76 (20.13%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 77¢

753.3 shares

$696.78$116.76 (20.13%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

No 33.1¢

2,200.0 shares

33.1¢

30.5¢

$670.99-$56.99 (-7.83%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

No 33.1¢

2,200.0 shares

$670.99-$56.99 (-7.83%)

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)

No 85¢

716.1 shares

85¢

87.5¢

$626.56$17.90 (2.94%)

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)

No 85¢

716.1 shares

$626.56$17.90 (2.94%)