groth

Joined Apr 2025·5.2K views

$114.5K

Positions Value

$19.2K

Biggest Win

609

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$174.0K
Total Volume: 3.2M

Profit/Loss

$2,033.47

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

82.8¢

93.5¢

$28,967.84$3,325.66 (12.97%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82.8¢

30,981.6 shares

$28,967.84$3,325.66 (12.97%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

29,003.2 shares

82.1¢

94.5¢

$27,408.03$3,599.47 (15.12%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 82.1¢

29,003.2 shares

$27,408.03$3,599.47 (15.12%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 97.7¢

11,087.6 shares

97.7¢

100¢

$11,087.60$259.42 (2.4%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Yes 97.7¢

11,087.6 shares

$11,087.60$259.42 (2.4%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

86.7¢

97.2¢

$4,373.99$474.01 (12.15%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,373.99$474.01 (12.15%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

5,326.5 shares

36.2¢

69.5¢

$3,701.90$1,773.45 (91.96%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

Yes 36.2¢

5,326.5 shares

$3,701.90$1,773.45 (91.96%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

17.3¢

60¢

$2,935.76$2,087.73 (246.19%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 17.3¢

4,892.9 shares

$2,935.76$2,087.73 (246.19%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

72.8¢

91.5¢

$2,745.00$560.00 (25.63%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

No 72.8¢

3,000.0 shares

$2,745.00$560.00 (25.63%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

15.6¢

87.5¢

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

$2,744.39$2,255.83 (461.74%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

23.2¢

52.5¢

$2,478.53$1,383.02 (126.25%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

$2,478.53$1,383.02 (126.25%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

30.7¢

31¢

$2,324.56$22.36 (0.97%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 30.7¢

7,498.6 shares

$2,324.56$22.36 (0.97%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

54.4¢

51¢

$2,120.82-$140.00 (-6.19%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 54.4¢

4,158.5 shares

$2,120.82-$140.00 (-6.19%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,085.2 shares

88.7¢

98.2¢

$2,046.63$197.33 (10.67%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

2,085.2 shares

$2,046.63$197.33 (10.67%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

82.7¢

91.5¢

$1,783.09$171.72 (10.66%)

Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?

No 82.7¢

1,948.7 shares

$1,783.09$171.72 (10.66%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

82¢

90.5¢

$1,579.67$148.37 (10.37%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?

Yes 82¢

1,745.5 shares

$1,579.67$148.37 (10.37%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.9¢

3,741.0 shares

37.9¢

37.3¢

$1,393.52-$22.82 (-1.61%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

Yes 37.9¢

3,741.0 shares

$1,393.52-$22.82 (-1.61%)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

No 70¢

1,784.7 shares

70¢

75.5¢

$1,347.48$98.16 (7.86%)

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?

No 70¢

1,784.7 shares

$1,347.48$98.16 (7.86%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

20.6¢

33.5¢

$1,341.26$516.79 (62.68%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

$1,341.26$516.79 (62.68%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

71.8¢

97.1¢

$1,071.93$279.25 (35.23%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

$1,071.93$279.25 (35.23%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?

Yes 3.9¢

25,122.3 shares

3.9¢

3.8¢

$954.65-$24.80 (-2.53%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?

Yes 3.9¢

25,122.3 shares

$954.65-$24.80 (-2.53%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

No 33.1¢

1,100.0 shares

33.1¢

81.5¢

$896.49$532.50 (146.29%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

No 33.1¢

1,100.0 shares

$896.49$532.50 (146.29%)