groth

Joined Apr 2025·4.8K views

$102.5K

Positions Value

$19.2K

Biggest Win

543

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$147.5K
Total Volume: 2.7M

Profit/Loss

$299.98

Past Day

Market

Avg

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

No 89¢

20,104.3 shares

89¢

100¢

$20,104.34$2,203.09 (12.31%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

No 89¢

20,104.3 shares

$20,104.34$2,203.09 (12.31%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 79.6¢

17,558.5 shares

79.6¢

89.5¢

$15,714.87$1,737.96 (12.43%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

No 79.6¢

17,558.5 shares

$15,714.87$1,737.96 (12.43%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 83.8¢

16,700.0 shares

83.8¢

84.5¢

$14,111.51$109.23 (0.78%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 83.8¢

16,700.0 shares

$14,111.51$109.23 (0.78%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

No 83.8¢

10,557.8 shares

83.8¢

100¢

$10,557.76$1,709.50 (19.32%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

No 83.8¢

10,557.8 shares

$10,557.76$1,709.50 (19.32%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

10,204.5 shares

88.7¢

97.5¢

$9,949.41$899.34 (9.94%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

No 88.7¢

10,204.5 shares

$9,949.41$899.34 (9.94%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

No 99.7¢

5,000.0 shares

99.7¢

100¢

$5,000.00$15.00 (0.3%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

No 99.7¢

5,000.0 shares

$5,000.00$15.00 (0.3%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

86.7¢

97.5¢

$4,387.49$487.51 (12.5%)

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

No 86.7¢

4,500.0 shares

$4,387.49$487.51 (12.5%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

15.6¢

67¢

$2,101.41$1,612.86 (330.13%)

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Yes 15.6¢

3,136.4 shares

$2,101.41$1,612.86 (330.13%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

23.2¢

37.5¢

$1,770.38$674.87 (61.6%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 23.2¢

4,721.0 shares

$1,770.38$674.87 (61.6%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Yes 54.5¢

5,479.7 shares

54.5¢

20.5¢

$1,123.34-$1,865.33 (-62.41%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Yes 54.5¢

5,479.7 shares

$1,123.34-$1,865.33 (-62.41%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 34¢

2,972.9 shares

34¢

37.5¢

$1,114.83$103.55 (10.24%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 34¢

2,972.9 shares

$1,114.83$103.55 (10.24%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

71.8¢

96.9¢

$1,069.17$276.49 (34.88%)

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 71.8¢

1,103.9 shares

$1,069.17$276.49 (34.88%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

20.6¢

26¢

$1,040.98$216.50 (26.26%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

No 20.6¢

4,003.8 shares

$1,040.98$216.50 (26.26%)

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

No 77¢

1,000.0 shares

77¢

100¢

$1,000.00$230.00 (29.87%)

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

No 77¢

1,000.0 shares

$1,000.00$230.00 (29.87%)

Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 92.8¢

1,000.0 shares

92.8¢

99.6¢

$995.50$67.50 (7.27%)

Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?

No 92.8¢

1,000.0 shares

$995.50$67.50 (7.27%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 65.3¢

1,191.2 shares

65.3¢

73.5¢

$875.52$97.61 (12.55%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 65.3¢

1,191.2 shares

$875.52$97.61 (12.55%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 21.1¢

2,693.2 shares

21.1¢

30¢

$807.96$240.37 (42.35%)

Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?

Yes 21.1¢

2,693.2 shares

$807.96$240.37 (42.35%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢

1,017.5 shares

47.2¢

76.5¢

$778.37$297.79 (61.96%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 47.2¢

1,017.5 shares

$778.37$297.79 (61.96%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 30¢

2,000.0 shares

30¢

35.5¢

$710.00$110.00 (18.33%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 30¢

2,000.0 shares

$710.00$110.00 (18.33%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 77¢

753.3 shares

77¢

92.5¢

$696.78$116.76 (20.13%)

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?

No 77¢

753.3 shares

$696.78$116.76 (20.13%)