dpnd

Joined Aug 2023·13.4K views

$16.4K

Positions Value

$6,919.91

Biggest Win

37,160

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$182.71

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

No 92.7¢

3,505.1 shares

92.7¢

90.4¢

$3,168.65-$80.75 (-2.48%)

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

No 92.7¢

3,505.1 shares

$3,168.65-$80.75 (-2.48%)

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

No 91.4¢

2,442.3 shares

91.4¢

96.8¢

$2,362.90$131.77 (5.91%)

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

No 91.4¢

2,442.3 shares

$2,362.90$131.77 (5.91%)

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

No 91.8¢

1,862.8 shares

91.8¢

94.5¢

$1,760.31$49.49 (2.89%)

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

No 91.8¢

1,862.8 shares

$1,760.31$49.49 (2.89%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 52¢

3,691.4 shares

52¢

47.5¢

$1,753.40-$164.72 (-8.59%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 52¢

3,691.4 shares

$1,753.40-$164.72 (-8.59%)

AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?

No 76.9¢

1,604.7 shares

76.9¢

79¢

$1,267.74$33.99 (2.75%)

AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?

No 76.9¢

1,604.7 shares

$1,267.74$33.99 (2.75%)

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?

Yes 35.5¢

908.9 shares

35.5¢

71¢

$645.32$322.47 (99.88%)

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?

Yes 35.5¢

908.9 shares

$645.32$322.47 (99.88%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 60.2¢

1,236.1 shares

60.2¢

49.5¢

$611.87-$132.85 (-17.84%)

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

No 60.2¢

1,236.1 shares

$611.87-$132.85 (-17.84%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

No 83¢

691.9 shares

83¢

87.5¢

$605.41$31.14 (5.42%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?

No 83¢

691.9 shares

$605.41$31.14 (5.42%)

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

No 89.5¢

691.1 shares

89.5¢

85.3¢

$589.55-$28.79 (-4.66%)

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

No 89.5¢

691.1 shares

$589.55-$28.79 (-4.66%)

Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?

No 85.5¢

590.1 shares

85.5¢

86.5¢

$510.44$6.05 (1.2%)

Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?

No 85.5¢

590.1 shares

$510.44$6.05 (1.2%)

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

No 91.3¢

469.2 shares

91.3¢

97.4¢

$456.76$28.16 (6.57%)

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

No 91.3¢

469.2 shares

$456.76$28.16 (6.57%)

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?

No 46.8¢

813.0 shares

46.8¢

48.5¢

$394.31$14.05 (3.69%)

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?

No 46.8¢

813.0 shares

$394.31$14.05 (3.69%)

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?

No 45¢

550.0 shares

45¢

71¢

$390.50$143.00 (57.78%)

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?

No 45¢

550.0 shares

$390.50$143.00 (57.78%)

Elon Bull Run Combo

No 89.6¢

327.1 shares

89.6¢

94.2¢

$307.94$14.84 (5.06%)

Elon Bull Run Combo

No 89.6¢

327.1 shares

$307.94$14.84 (5.06%)

Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?

Yes 32.3¢

796.8 shares

32.3¢

38¢

$302.77$45.74 (17.8%)

Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?

Yes 32.3¢

796.8 shares

$302.77$45.74 (17.8%)

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?

No 82.1¢

271.3 shares

82.1¢

97.5¢

$264.52$41.87 (18.81%)

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?

No 82.1¢

271.3 shares

$264.52$41.87 (18.81%)

Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?

No 33.3¢

541.2 shares

33.3¢

41¢

$221.88$41.57 (23.05%)

Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?

No 33.3¢

541.2 shares

$221.88$41.57 (23.05%)

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?

Yes 35.2¢

1,309.9 shares

35.2¢

16.5¢

$216.13-$245.46 (-53.18%)

Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?

Yes 35.2¢

1,309.9 shares

$216.13-$245.46 (-53.18%)

Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?

Yes 27.4¢

342.0 shares

27.4¢

49.5¢

$169.29$75.55 (80.6%)

Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 21-September 27?

Yes 27.4¢

342.0 shares

$169.29$75.55 (80.6%)

$icon for Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?$

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?

No 37¢

338.0 shares

37¢

39¢

$131.82$6.76 (5.41%)

$icon for Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?$

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?

No 37¢

338.0 shares

$131.82$6.76 (5.41%)