Judea-Pearl

Joined Apr 2026·587 views

$1,637.14

Positions Value

$1,297.65

Biggest Win

560

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1,500.74
Total Volume: 163.8K

Profit/Loss

$295.74

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.9¢

628.9 shares

27.9¢

26.9¢

$168.86-$6.54 (-3.73%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.9¢

628.9 shares

$168.86-$6.54 (-3.73%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 85.3¢

177.3 shares

85.3¢

85.6¢

$151.70$0.44 (0.29%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 85.3¢

177.3 shares

$151.70$0.44 (0.29%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Yes 52.9¢

266.5 shares

52.9¢

54¢

$143.92$2.83 (2.01%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Yes 52.9¢

266.5 shares

$143.92$2.83 (2.01%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes 20.5¢

1,293.2 shares

20.5¢

9.5¢

$122.86-$141.87 (-53.59%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes 20.5¢

1,293.2 shares

$122.86-$141.87 (-53.59%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 65.5¢

129.5 shares

65.5¢

88¢

$113.98$29.14 (34.35%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 65.5¢

129.5 shares

$113.98$29.14 (34.35%)

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No 86.5¢

100.0 shares

86.5¢

97.4¢

$97.40$10.90 (12.6%)

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No 86.5¢

100.0 shares

$97.40$10.90 (12.6%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 41.2¢

225.5 shares

41.2¢

39.7¢

$89.43-$3.50 (-3.76%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 41.2¢

225.5 shares

$89.43-$3.50 (-3.76%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50.2¢

561.5 shares

50.2¢

14¢

$78.61-$203.45 (-72.13%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50.2¢

561.5 shares

$78.61-$203.45 (-72.13%)

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

No 87.6¢

75.8 shares

87.6¢

98.3¢

$74.47$8.06 (12.14%)

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

No 87.6¢

75.8 shares

$74.47$8.06 (12.14%)

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Yes 22.5¢

272.7 shares

22.5¢

21.5¢

$58.63-$2.73 (-4.44%)

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Yes 22.5¢

272.7 shares

$58.63-$2.73 (-4.44%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?

No 50.5¢

112.2 shares

50.5¢

45.5¢

$51.07-$5.61 (-9.9%)

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?

No 50.5¢

112.2 shares

$51.07-$5.61 (-9.9%)

Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?

Yes 85.3¢

48.6 shares

85.3¢

97.9¢

$47.55$6.12 (14.78%)

Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?

Yes 85.3¢

48.6 shares

$47.55$6.12 (14.78%)

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 30.3¢

150.1 shares

30.3¢

31¢

$46.53$0.98 (2.15%)

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 30.3¢

150.1 shares

$46.53$0.98 (2.15%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 13.5¢

370.2 shares

13.5¢

12¢

$44.42-$5.55 (-11.11%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 13.5¢

370.2 shares

$44.42-$5.55 (-11.11%)

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

44.3 shares

90.8¢

97.4¢

$43.10$2.92 (7.27%)

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

44.3 shares

$43.10$2.92 (7.27%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?

No 47.4¢

94.3 shares

47.4¢

44¢

$41.51-$3.25 (-7.25%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?

No 47.4¢

94.3 shares

$41.51-$3.25 (-7.25%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes 26.8¢

527.1 shares

26.8¢

5.5¢

$28.99-$112.11 (-79.45%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes 26.8¢

527.1 shares

$28.99-$112.11 (-79.45%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.4¢

304.8 shares

27.4¢

9.5¢

$28.96-$54.61 (-65.35%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.4¢

304.8 shares

$28.96-$54.61 (-65.35%)

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

No 65.5¢

38.5 shares

65.5¢

67.5¢

$25.97$0.77 (3.05%)

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

No 65.5¢

38.5 shares

$25.97$0.77 (3.05%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 47.3¢

25.0 shares

47.3¢

93.5¢

$23.41$11.57 (97.75%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 47.3¢

25.0 shares

$23.41$11.57 (97.75%)