Judea-Pearl

Joined Apr 2026·575 views

$2,616.99

Positions Value

$1,297.65

Biggest Win

511

Markets Traded

Total PnL: -$223.58
Total Volume: 129.9K

Profit/Loss

-$18.00

Past Day

Market

Avg

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 88.8¢

320.2 shares

88.8¢

91.5¢

$292.95$8.71 (3.06%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

No 88.8¢

320.2 shares

$292.95$8.71 (3.06%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 70.2¢

390.8 shares

70.2¢

74¢

$289.16$14.92 (5.44%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

No 70.2¢

390.8 shares

$289.16$14.92 (5.44%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes 18.8¢

1,342.7 shares

18.8¢

14.5¢

$194.69-$57.84 (-22.9%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes 18.8¢

1,342.7 shares

$194.69-$57.84 (-22.9%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 92¢

200.0 shares

92¢

90.5¢

$181.00-$3.00 (-1.63%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 92¢

200.0 shares

$181.00-$3.00 (-1.63%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Yes 62.8¢

220.1 shares

62.8¢

55.5¢

$122.14-$16.09 (-11.64%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

Yes 62.8¢

220.1 shares

$122.14-$16.09 (-11.64%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.4¢

544.6 shares

27.4¢

22¢

$119.81-$29.49 (-19.75%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.4¢

544.6 shares

$119.81-$29.49 (-19.75%)

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 35.2¢

201.3 shares

35.2¢

58.5¢

$117.74$46.80 (65.97%)

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 35.2¢

201.3 shares

$117.74$46.80 (65.97%)

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No 86.5¢

100.0 shares

86.5¢

96.5¢

$96.45$9.95 (11.5%)

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No 86.5¢

100.0 shares

$96.45$9.95 (11.5%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 55.8¢

489.0 shares

55.8¢

19.5¢

$95.35-$177.38 (-65.04%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 55.8¢

489.0 shares

$95.35-$177.38 (-65.04%)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 71.7¢

120.0 shares

71.7¢

73.5¢

$88.20$2.10 (2.44%)

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 71.7¢

120.0 shares

$88.20$2.10 (2.44%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes 26.7¢

285.0 shares

26.7¢

29.5¢

$84.07$7.91 (10.38%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes 26.7¢

285.0 shares

$84.07$7.91 (10.38%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Yes 48.9¢

187.5 shares

48.9¢

44.5¢

$83.42-$8.20 (-8.95%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Yes 48.9¢

187.5 shares

$83.42-$8.20 (-8.95%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes 26.8¢

527.1 shares

26.8¢

15.5¢

$81.71-$59.39 (-42.09%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes 26.8¢

527.1 shares

$81.71-$59.39 (-42.09%)

Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?

Yes 88.5¢

80.0 shares

88.5¢

86.5¢

$69.20-$1.60 (-2.26%)

Will Obsession rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?

Yes 88.5¢

80.0 shares

$69.20-$1.60 (-2.26%)

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

Yes 41.2¢

210.0 shares

41.2¢

28.5¢

$59.85-$26.76 (-30.9%)

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

Yes 41.2¢

210.0 shares

$59.85-$26.76 (-30.9%)

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

No 60¢

83.3 shares

60¢

69.5¢

$57.91$7.92 (15.83%)

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

No 60¢

83.3 shares

$57.91$7.92 (15.83%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 47.3¢

105.0 shares

47.3¢

54.5¢

$57.21$7.58 (15.27%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 47.3¢

105.0 shares

$57.21$7.58 (15.27%)

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

No 65¢

64.9 shares

65¢

81.5¢

$52.91$10.71 (25.38%)

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

No 65¢

64.9 shares

$52.91$10.71 (25.38%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Yes 35.9¢

100.0 shares

35.9¢

39.5¢

$39.50$3.55 (9.88%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

Yes 35.9¢

100.0 shares

$39.50$3.55 (9.88%)

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Yes 16.8¢

248.2 shares

16.8¢

15¢

$37.23-$4.59 (-10.98%)

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Yes 16.8¢

248.2 shares

$37.23-$4.59 (-10.98%)