Judea-Pearl

Joined Apr 2026·587 views

$1,423.29

Positions Value

$1,297.65

Biggest Win

560

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1,252.90
Total Volume: 161K

Profit/Loss

$0.83

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.9¢

628.9 shares

27.9¢

26.7¢

$167.60-$7.80 (-4.45%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 27.9¢

628.9 shares

$167.60-$7.80 (-4.45%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Yes 52.9¢

266.5 shares

52.9¢

53.5¢

$142.59$1.50 (1.06%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

Yes 52.9¢

266.5 shares

$142.59$1.50 (1.06%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 65.5¢

129.5 shares

65.5¢

89¢

$115.27$30.44 (35.88%)

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 65.5¢

129.5 shares

$115.27$30.44 (35.88%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes 20.5¢

1,293.2 shares

20.5¢

8.5¢

$109.92-$154.81 (-58.48%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Yes 20.5¢

1,293.2 shares

$109.92-$154.81 (-58.48%)

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No 86.5¢

100.0 shares

86.5¢

96.6¢

$96.55$10.05 (11.62%)

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

No 86.5¢

100.0 shares

$96.55$10.05 (11.62%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 41.2¢

225.5 shares

41.2¢

40.3¢

$90.89-$2.03 (-2.18%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 41.2¢

225.5 shares

$90.89-$2.03 (-2.18%)

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

No 87.6¢

75.8 shares

87.6¢

98.5¢

$74.63$8.22 (12.37%)

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?

No 87.6¢

75.8 shares

$74.63$8.22 (12.37%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 55.8¢

489.0 shares

55.8¢

11¢

$53.79-$218.95 (-80.28%)

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Yes 55.8¢

489.0 shares

$53.79-$218.95 (-80.28%)

Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?

Yes 85.3¢

48.6 shares

85.3¢

98¢

$47.57$6.15 (14.84%)

Ossoff ahead of Newsom on November 30?

Yes 85.3¢

48.6 shares

$47.57$6.15 (14.84%)

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 30.3¢

150.1 shares

30.3¢

31.5¢

$47.28$1.73 (3.8%)

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 30.3¢

150.1 shares

$47.28$1.73 (3.8%)

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?

Yes 49.5¢

58.1 shares

49.5¢

78.5¢

$45.58$16.84 (58.59%)

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?

Yes 49.5¢

58.1 shares

$45.58$16.84 (58.59%)

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

44.3 shares

90.8¢

97.4¢

$43.10$2.92 (7.27%)

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?

No 90.8¢

44.3 shares

$43.10$2.92 (7.27%)

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?

Yes 72.5¢

43.1 shares

72.5¢

99.1¢

$42.67$11.42 (36.55%)

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?

Yes 72.5¢

43.1 shares

$42.67$11.42 (36.55%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.4¢

304.8 shares

27.4¢

12.5¢

$38.11-$45.47 (-54.4%)

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27.4¢

304.8 shares

$38.11-$45.47 (-54.4%)

Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?

No 54.5¢

36.8 shares

54.5¢

97.4¢

$35.84$15.79 (78.72%)

Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?

No 54.5¢

36.8 shares

$35.84$15.79 (78.72%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes 26.8¢

527.1 shares

26.8¢

6¢

$31.63-$109.47 (-77.58%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Yes 26.8¢

527.1 shares

$31.63-$109.47 (-77.58%)

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

No 65.5¢

38.5 shares

65.5¢

63.5¢

$24.43-$0.77 (-3.05%)

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

No 65.5¢

38.5 shares

$24.43-$0.77 (-3.05%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 47.3¢

25.0 shares

47.3¢

89¢

$22.29$10.45 (88.24%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

No 47.3¢

25.0 shares

$22.29$10.45 (88.24%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 37.5¢

151.1 shares

37.5¢

13.3¢

$20.02-$36.64 (-64.67%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 37.5¢

151.1 shares

$20.02-$36.64 (-64.67%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 26¢

240.0 shares

26¢

8¢

$19.20-$43.29 (-69.28%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Yes 26¢

240.0 shares

$19.20-$43.29 (-69.28%)